CPD: Blitzscale and hope – unicorns, IPOs and the fear of repeating the late 1990s

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The current hype about two-sided digital platforms, blitzscaling and winner-takes-most markets has fuelled a surge in IPO listings. It is perhaps unsurprising that this exuberance, especially when combined with inordinate liquidity, record levels of VC activity and multiple fundraising rounds, has often produced stratospheric valuations that are difficult to reconcile with free-cash-flow (FCF) fundamentals. As […]

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CPD: Circumventing ‘flat earth’ market thinking

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GSFM recently hosted fixed income specialists Payden & Rygel, who addressed advisers around the country. The presentation took a different view to the general bond market approach; instead it looked at how to avoid ‘flat earth’ thinking and related this to the world of investment. In other words, how not to follow the wrong crowd […]

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History tells retirees to protect equities – 10 major market falls in 27 years

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No one can predict the stock market, but history shows risk can and does erode retiree capital. Be they called “corrections, downturns or crashes”, the impact on capital can be significant. Brisbane-based Pentalpha Investment Management Limited has studied the number and severity of drawdowns of the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index over the last three decades. […]

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CPD: Portfolio governance frameworks

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Financial advice practices face a myriad of decisions every day. One of the more important decisions is whether to insource or outsource portfolio construction at a financial planning practice level. While on the surface it may seem a reasonably simple binary decision, a significant amount of effort and expertise is required to get to the […]

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Growth capital, private investments’ value creator – now worth over $30bn

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Private capital investment is booming and last year the Australian industry reached a new high of more than $30 billion in assets under management. Growth capital investors will meet in Sydney this tomorrow (29 August) to discuss developments in the private investment sector and the value it creates for the Australian economy. Large private equity deals, […]

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Investors need to keep sharp eye on commercial property opportunities

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The beginning of a recovery in residential property prices should not deflect investors or self-managed super funds (SMSF) trustees from considering the long-term benefits of investing in commercial property, says Jonathan Street, CEO of the specialist commercial property lender, Thinktank. “Falling residential property prices over the past couple of years has been a good reminder […]

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Good financial returns may be hard to find

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“Intensified trade tensions and disappointment with interest rate cuts by the Fed could provoke a relapse in equity markets.” That’s the view of Principal Global Investors Chief Global Economist, Dr Bob Baur. Writing in his July monthly economic notes, Dr Baur argued that even if world growth picks up as expected, good financial returns might […]

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CPD: Neo-chartalists or neocharlatans? A dive into Modern Monetary Theory

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A small revolution is brewing in the world of macroeconomics. It’s an idea that counts a Democratic socialist presidential candidate and a hedge fund manager among its adherents. The economics team at Payden & Rygel, manager of GSFM’s Payden Global Income Opportunities Fund, write about Modern Monetary Theory, popularly known as MMT. The team breaks […]

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CPD: Where profits come from, and the vulnerabilities in Australian corporate earnings

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Key points Equity investors rejoiced in June as the Fed signaled it may cut interest rates – but interest rates do not drive long run equity performance. Profits do. While the Fed gets a lot of credit for the US bull equity run, the reality is that market performance has been supported by a near […]

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CPD: A conservative government, falling interest rates, and new APRA lending guidelines; what now for residential property?

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The RBA recently cut its official interest rate by 25 basis points to a record low of 1.25%. Along with the recent win by the conservative government (that campaigned on maintaining tax concessions for property investors), there is now a growing expectation that the recent decline in residential prices will end – with some commentators […]

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