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                <title>Strong balance sheets fuel dividend growth, Russell says</title>
                <link>https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/03/strong-balance-sheets-fuel-dividend-growth-russell-says/</link>
                <comments>https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/03/strong-balance-sheets-fuel-dividend-growth-russell-says/#respond</comments>
                <pubDate>Wed, 30 Mar 2011 01:40:50 +0000</pubDate>
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                		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australian Institute of Petroleum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[balance sheets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dividend yields]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dividends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[equities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[profit reporting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russell Investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shareholders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shares]]></category>
                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://adviservoice.com.au/?p=6828</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<ul>
<li>Australian dividends increase 6.4%</li>
<li>Dividend yields rival term deposits</li>
</ul>
<p>Dividends are on the rise with the average dividend across the equity market growing 6.4% over the last six months, according to recent data from Russell Investments, provider of the Russell Australia High Dividend Index (the index).</p>
<p>&#8220;This reporting season has shown companies are increasingly confident about their prospects and as a result are more inclined to return capital to shareholders, either via dividends or buy-backs,&#8221; said Scott Bennett, portfolio manager for Russell Investments.</p>
<p>The index, which forms the basis for Russell&#8217;s High Dividend Australian Shares ETF (RDV), comprises Australian blue-chip companies with a bias towards those that have a high expected dividend yield but also meet other characteristics including: a history of paying dividends; dividend growth and consistent earnings.</p>
<p>Russell has recently completed the semi-annual reconstitution of the index, which involves incorporating the latest reporting season data to rebalance the weightings of stocks within the index according to certain dividend and earnings factors.</p>
<p>Commenting on the outlook for dividends, Mr Bennett said: &#8220;The dash to dividends is likely to become an even stronger theme in the year ahead with more companies looking to return cash to shareholders, along the lines of BHP&#8217;s buy-back.&#8221;</p>
<p>According to Mr Bennett, dividend yields are now looking as attractive as term deposits. The average term deposit is now yielding 6.1% while the average dividend yield across the ASX is now 5.8% grossed up for franking credits, with the index yielding 7.3% grossed up for franking credits.</p>
<p>&#8220;The main advantage over term deposits is with Australian equities you get long term growth in dividends and also your capital,&#8221; Mr Bennett said. &#8220;The recent correction in equity markets has presented a good buying opportunity for longer term investors.&#8221;</p>
<h2>Strong yielders</h2>
<p>The index has seen a number of movements this half including Harvey Norman which has entered the index at a weight of 1.8%. This reflects its attractive 6.7% gross yield and solid dividend growth, although Mr Bennett says Russell index methodology has also taken into account the cyclical nature of its business.</p>
<p>Defensive companies such as Fosters and Coca Cola Amatil have also increased their weighting, as did the banking sector after three of the top four banks posted double digit dividend growth in the past 12 months. &#8220;The proprietary Russell index methodology does favour those companies with more defensive earnings characteristics,&#8221; Mr Bennett said.</p>
<p>&#8220;This half has really shown investors that dividends are on a steady growth path and as a result dividends are going to be a really competitive source of income compared to other investments,&#8221; Mr Bennett concluded.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/top-ten-stocks.png"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6829" title="top ten stocks" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/top-ten-stocks.png" alt="" width="488" height="458" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/top-ten-stocks.png 697w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/top-ten-stocks-300x281.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 488px) 100vw, 488px" /></a></p>
]]></description>
                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul>
<li>Australian dividends increase 6.4%</li>
<li>Dividend yields rival term deposits</li>
</ul>
<p>Dividends are on the rise with the average dividend across the equity market growing 6.4% over the last six months, according to recent data from Russell Investments, provider of the Russell Australia High Dividend Index (the index).</p>
<p>&#8220;This reporting season has shown companies are increasingly confident about their prospects and as a result are more inclined to return capital to shareholders, either via dividends or buy-backs,&#8221; said Scott Bennett, portfolio manager for Russell Investments.</p>
<p>The index, which forms the basis for Russell&#8217;s High Dividend Australian Shares ETF (RDV), comprises Australian blue-chip companies with a bias towards those that have a high expected dividend yield but also meet other characteristics including: a history of paying dividends; dividend growth and consistent earnings.</p>
<p>Russell has recently completed the semi-annual reconstitution of the index, which involves incorporating the latest reporting season data to rebalance the weightings of stocks within the index according to certain dividend and earnings factors.</p>
<p>Commenting on the outlook for dividends, Mr Bennett said: &#8220;The dash to dividends is likely to become an even stronger theme in the year ahead with more companies looking to return cash to shareholders, along the lines of BHP&#8217;s buy-back.&#8221;</p>
<p>According to Mr Bennett, dividend yields are now looking as attractive as term deposits. The average term deposit is now yielding 6.1% while the average dividend yield across the ASX is now 5.8% grossed up for franking credits, with the index yielding 7.3% grossed up for franking credits.</p>
<p>&#8220;The main advantage over term deposits is with Australian equities you get long term growth in dividends and also your capital,&#8221; Mr Bennett said. &#8220;The recent correction in equity markets has presented a good buying opportunity for longer term investors.&#8221;</p>
<h2>Strong yielders</h2>
<p>The index has seen a number of movements this half including Harvey Norman which has entered the index at a weight of 1.8%. This reflects its attractive 6.7% gross yield and solid dividend growth, although Mr Bennett says Russell index methodology has also taken into account the cyclical nature of its business.</p>
<p>Defensive companies such as Fosters and Coca Cola Amatil have also increased their weighting, as did the banking sector after three of the top four banks posted double digit dividend growth in the past 12 months. &#8220;The proprietary Russell index methodology does favour those companies with more defensive earnings characteristics,&#8221; Mr Bennett said.</p>
<p>&#8220;This half has really shown investors that dividends are on a steady growth path and as a result dividends are going to be a really competitive source of income compared to other investments,&#8221; Mr Bennett concluded.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/top-ten-stocks.png"><img decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6829" title="top ten stocks" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/top-ten-stocks.png" alt="" width="488" height="458" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/top-ten-stocks.png 697w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/top-ten-stocks-300x281.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 488px) 100vw, 488px" /></a></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/03/strong-balance-sheets-fuel-dividend-growth-russell-says/">Strong balance sheets fuel dividend growth, Russell says</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.adviservoice.com.au">AdviserVoice</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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                <title>Household wealth levels nears 3-year high; Company cash holdings at a 11-year high</title>
                <link>https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/03/household-wealth-levels-nears-3-year-high-company-cash-holdings-at-a-11-year-high/</link>
                <comments>https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/03/household-wealth-levels-nears-3-year-high-company-cash-holdings-at-a-11-year-high/#respond</comments>
                <pubDate>Fri, 25 Mar 2011 08:59:57 +0000</pubDate>
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                		<category><![CDATA[Economic Update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[balance sheets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commsec]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[equities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[household wealth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[superannuation]]></category>
                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://adviservoice.com.au/?p=6738</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Financial accounts</p>
<ul>
<li>The financial wealth of Australians rose in the December quarter – largely due to 4.5 per cent rise in equity markets. Net financial assets of households rose by 3.4 per cent after rising by 8.1 per cent in the<br />
September quarter.</li>
<li>Per capita financial wealth rose by almost $1,400 to $46,330 in the last quarter – marking the highest reading in almost three years. Financial wealth is down 12.7 per cent below the record set in late 2007 Australian companies are maintaining very liquid balance sheets. Corporate Australia held a record $277.6 billion in cash and deposits as at December. As a proportion of total financial assets, companies held 30.5 per cent of financial assets in cash &#8211; the highest in 11 years.</li>
<li>Assets held by superannuation funds (pension funds) rose by $40 billion (3.7 per cent) in the December quarter to $1120.9 billion. Super funds held 15.1 per cent of assets in cash and deposits, similar to 15.2 per cent held in September and well above the long-term average of 8 per cent.</li>
<li>Foreigners purchased $20.3 billion of Australian equities in the December quarter &#8211; the highest result in 15 months &#8211; since September 2009. In the December quarter the Aussie dollar hit highs of US101.5 cents in early November, before easing over the following month, thus providing a buying opportunity for foreign investors.</li>
</ul>
<h2>What does it all mean?</h2>
<ul>
<li>The latest data on household wealth certainly provides Aussie households with a bit of cheer and could not come at a better time, especially given the current level of conservatism. The global financial crisis caused the biggest ever drop in wealth for Australian households, however wealth levels have continued to repair over 2010 and are now holding at the best levels in almost three years.</li>
<li>Despite the sustained improvement in wealth levels household continue to save. With almost 25 per cent of total assets being held in cash and deposits &#8211; well above the long-term average of 22.7 per cent. The current level of consumer conservatism is unlikely to turnaround anytime soon, however the improvement in household balance sheets certainly bodes well for future spending.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/super-funds-still-cashed-up.png"><img decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6739" title="super funds still cashed up" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/super-funds-still-cashed-up.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/super-funds-still-cashed-up.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/super-funds-still-cashed-up-300x213.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Aussies-still-like-cash.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6740" title="Aussies still like cash" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Aussies-still-like-cash.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Aussies-still-like-cash.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Aussies-still-like-cash-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<ul>
<li>It’s not only household wealth levels that have improved but also company balance sheets are certainly looking much healthier. Corporate Australia held a record $277.6 billion in cash and deposits as at December and the proportion of total financial assets, companies held in cash is now at the highest level in 11 years.</li>
<li>The strength in share markets has certainly been the key driver of the turnaround in wealth and more importantly the pickup wealth is expected to continue. CommSec expects a sustained recovery in wealth over coming quarters. The rebuilding in the second half of the year will help to support activity and spending levels, while at the same time corporate Australia is likely to ramp up investment plans.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/world-looks-down-under.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6741" title="world looks down under" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/world-looks-down-under.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/world-looks-down-under.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/world-looks-down-under-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<ul>
<li>Australian superannuation funds are holding almost double the ‘normal’ proportion of money in defensive assets like cash and bank deposits. That is not to say that super funds have not been investing in equity markets rather the equity investments have been less than the cash inflows record by fund managers. No doubt as the global economy strengths and the recovery look more concrete pension funds will feel more comfortable with allocating a larger proportion of inflows to growth assets.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have become more prominent investors in our companies. At the end of the December quarter, foreigners owned almost 42 per cent of Australian listed companies, holding just shy of the 12 year highs reached in the March quarter 2009. And in the December quarter alone, foreigners made over $32 billion in net purchases of Australian equities. The movements in the Australian dollar is an important factor in driving foreign investment and if the Aussie dollar does start to ease over rest of the year – as our currency strategists expect – further inflows of funds are likely to take place. Added to which equity markets are likely to get a boost from M&amp;A activity largely driven by cashed up companies and foreign investors.</li>
</ul>
<h2>What do the figures show?</h2>
<ul>
<li>The net financial wealth of Australian households (assets less liabilities) rose sharply by 3.4 per cent in the December quarter after rising by 8.1 per cent in the September quarter.</li>
<li>Financial assets of households (such as shares, bank deposits) rose by $58.8 billion or 2.4 per cent in the December quarter to $2,557 billion. Of the total, 24.9 per cent was held in cash and deposits, above the long-term average of 22.7 per cent. Financial liabilities of households grew by $24.3 billion or 1.6 per cent to a record $1,515 billion.</li>
<li>Overall, net household financial wealth (assets less liabilities) rose by $34.5 billion to $1041.6 billion at the end of December quarter. Financial wealth is up 4.0 per cent on a year ago but is still down 12.7 per cent from the record high set in the September quarter 2007.</li>
<li>Net household wealth per capita rose from $44,936 to $46,330. Per capita wealth is up only 7.0 per cent over the past five years and up 32.2 per cent over the past decade.</li>
<li>The household debt to liquid assets ratio fell by 0.4 percentage points to 160.1 per cent in the December quarter. The ratio shows that households do not have sufficient readily liquefiable assets to cover outstanding debt, highlighting a degree of vulnerability in the current economic environment.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/more-liquid.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6742" title="more liquid" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/more-liquid.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/more-liquid.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/more-liquid-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/cashed-up-companies.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6743" title="cashed up companies" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/cashed-up-companies.png" alt="" width="447" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/cashed-up-companies.png 639w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/cashed-up-companies-300x211.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 447px) 100vw, 447px" /></a></p>
<ul>
<li>Foreigners purchased $20.3 billion of Australian equities in the December quarter &#8211; the highest result in 15 months &#8211; since September 2009. In the December quarter the Aussie dollar hit highs of US101.5 cents in early November, before easing over the following month, thus providing a buying opportunity for foreign investors.</li>
<li>Foreign investors held $586.2 billion of Australian listed shares as at the end of December, up $31.9 billion (5.8 per cent) over the quarter. Foreigners held 41.9 per cent of Australian shares, unchanged over the quarter and not far short of the 12-year high of 43.3 per cent in March 2009 (when the Aussie was at US68.7 cents).</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/our-sharemarket-dictated-by-foreigners.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6744" title="our sharemarket dictated by foreigners" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/our-sharemarket-dictated-by-foreigners.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/our-sharemarket-dictated-by-foreigners.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/our-sharemarket-dictated-by-foreigners-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<ul>
<li>Assets held by superannuation funds (pension funds) rose by $40 billion (3.7 per cent) in the December quarter to $1120.9 billion. Super funds held 15.1 per cent of assets in cash and deposits, similar to 15.2 per cent held in September and well above the long-term average of 8 per cent.</li>
<li>Non-equity assets held by Australian companies (non-financial) stood at $652.6 billion at the end of December, a record $100 billion higher than loans. The $552.2 billion held in loans was the lowest in 3-1/2 years. Companies held 30.5 per cent of assets in currency and deposits &#8211; the highest share in 11 years.</li>
<li>The value of listed equities rose by $94.5 billion (5.9 per cent) to $1400.6 billion as at the end of December. The value of currency and deposits rose by $35 billion (2 per cent) to $1599.5 billion</li>
<li>As at the December quarter, 19.7 per cent of assets were held in listed equities (19.8 per cent long-term average); 20.2 per cent held in bonds (17 per cent average); 22.5 per cent held in cash and deposits (20.5 per cent average). Smaller than normal shares of assets were held by unlisted equities (20.3 per cent, compared with 24.1 per cent average) as well as bills of exchange, accounts receivable, derivatives and one-name paper.</li>
</ul>
<h2>What is the importance of the economic data?</h2>
<ul>
<li> The Australian Bureau of Statistics releases the Financial Accounts publication each quarter. The data covers assets, liabilities and financial flows for the key sectors of the economy. Figures on financial wealth help reveal the true state of household finances.</li>
</ul>
<h2>What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</h2>
<ul>
<li>The financial accounts data is essentially backward looking and the Reserve Bank would be well aware that the improvement in wealth over the December quarter would be more muted over the March quarter. Importantly the modest weakness in activity levels, conservative attitudes of consumers and the natural disasters are likely to keep the Reserve Bank on the interest rate sidelines in the near term.</li>
<li>The Reserve Bank has continuously highlighted the strength of corporate and household balance sheets and the latest result will give the Reserve Bank further confidence that the longer term fundamentals for the economy look sound.</li>
<li>Super funds and households are still holding much higher than normal levels in cash. CommSec expects that money to be put to work in equities, leading to further gains in share markets in coming quarters. CommSec expects the ASX200 to reach 5200 by December 2011.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/back-to-normal.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6745" title="back to normal" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/back-to-normal.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/back-to-normal.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/back-to-normal-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/liquid-balance-sheets.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6746" title="liquid balance sheets" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/liquid-balance-sheets.png" alt="" width="443" height="319" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/liquid-balance-sheets.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/liquid-balance-sheets-300x215.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<div class="disclaimer">
<p>Produced by Commonwealth Research based on information available at the time of publishing. We believe that the information in this report is correct and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to accuracy, reliability or completeness. To the extent permitted by law, neither Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report.</p>
<p>The report has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on the information in this report, consider the appropriateness of the information, having regard to the individual’s objectives, financial situation and needs and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. In the case of certain securities Commonwealth Bank of Australia is or may be the only market maker.</p>
<p>This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 a wholly owned but not guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia. This report is approved and distributed in the UK by Commonwealth Bank of Australia incorporated in Australia with limited liability. Registered in England No. BR250 and regulated in the UK by the Financial Services Authority (FSA). This report does not purport to be a complete statement or summary. For the purpose of the FSA rules, this report and related services are not intended for private customers and are not available to them.</p>
<p>Commonwealth Bank of Australia and its subsidiaries have effected or may effect transactions for their own account in any investments or related investments referred to in this report.</p>
</div>
]]></description>
                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Financial accounts</p>
<ul>
<li>The financial wealth of Australians rose in the December quarter – largely due to 4.5 per cent rise in equity markets. Net financial assets of households rose by 3.4 per cent after rising by 8.1 per cent in the<br />
September quarter.</li>
<li>Per capita financial wealth rose by almost $1,400 to $46,330 in the last quarter – marking the highest reading in almost three years. Financial wealth is down 12.7 per cent below the record set in late 2007 Australian companies are maintaining very liquid balance sheets. Corporate Australia held a record $277.6 billion in cash and deposits as at December. As a proportion of total financial assets, companies held 30.5 per cent of financial assets in cash &#8211; the highest in 11 years.</li>
<li>Assets held by superannuation funds (pension funds) rose by $40 billion (3.7 per cent) in the December quarter to $1120.9 billion. Super funds held 15.1 per cent of assets in cash and deposits, similar to 15.2 per cent held in September and well above the long-term average of 8 per cent.</li>
<li>Foreigners purchased $20.3 billion of Australian equities in the December quarter &#8211; the highest result in 15 months &#8211; since September 2009. In the December quarter the Aussie dollar hit highs of US101.5 cents in early November, before easing over the following month, thus providing a buying opportunity for foreign investors.</li>
</ul>
<h2>What does it all mean?</h2>
<ul>
<li>The latest data on household wealth certainly provides Aussie households with a bit of cheer and could not come at a better time, especially given the current level of conservatism. The global financial crisis caused the biggest ever drop in wealth for Australian households, however wealth levels have continued to repair over 2010 and are now holding at the best levels in almost three years.</li>
<li>Despite the sustained improvement in wealth levels household continue to save. With almost 25 per cent of total assets being held in cash and deposits &#8211; well above the long-term average of 22.7 per cent. The current level of consumer conservatism is unlikely to turnaround anytime soon, however the improvement in household balance sheets certainly bodes well for future spending.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/super-funds-still-cashed-up.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6739" title="super funds still cashed up" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/super-funds-still-cashed-up.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/super-funds-still-cashed-up.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/super-funds-still-cashed-up-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Aussies-still-like-cash.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6740" title="Aussies still like cash" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Aussies-still-like-cash.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Aussies-still-like-cash.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Aussies-still-like-cash-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<ul>
<li>It’s not only household wealth levels that have improved but also company balance sheets are certainly looking much healthier. Corporate Australia held a record $277.6 billion in cash and deposits as at December and the proportion of total financial assets, companies held in cash is now at the highest level in 11 years.</li>
<li>The strength in share markets has certainly been the key driver of the turnaround in wealth and more importantly the pickup wealth is expected to continue. CommSec expects a sustained recovery in wealth over coming quarters. The rebuilding in the second half of the year will help to support activity and spending levels, while at the same time corporate Australia is likely to ramp up investment plans.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/world-looks-down-under.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6741" title="world looks down under" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/world-looks-down-under.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/world-looks-down-under.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/world-looks-down-under-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<ul>
<li>Australian superannuation funds are holding almost double the ‘normal’ proportion of money in defensive assets like cash and bank deposits. That is not to say that super funds have not been investing in equity markets rather the equity investments have been less than the cash inflows record by fund managers. No doubt as the global economy strengths and the recovery look more concrete pension funds will feel more comfortable with allocating a larger proportion of inflows to growth assets.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have become more prominent investors in our companies. At the end of the December quarter, foreigners owned almost 42 per cent of Australian listed companies, holding just shy of the 12 year highs reached in the March quarter 2009. And in the December quarter alone, foreigners made over $32 billion in net purchases of Australian equities. The movements in the Australian dollar is an important factor in driving foreign investment and if the Aussie dollar does start to ease over rest of the year – as our currency strategists expect – further inflows of funds are likely to take place. Added to which equity markets are likely to get a boost from M&amp;A activity largely driven by cashed up companies and foreign investors.</li>
</ul>
<h2>What do the figures show?</h2>
<ul>
<li>The net financial wealth of Australian households (assets less liabilities) rose sharply by 3.4 per cent in the December quarter after rising by 8.1 per cent in the September quarter.</li>
<li>Financial assets of households (such as shares, bank deposits) rose by $58.8 billion or 2.4 per cent in the December quarter to $2,557 billion. Of the total, 24.9 per cent was held in cash and deposits, above the long-term average of 22.7 per cent. Financial liabilities of households grew by $24.3 billion or 1.6 per cent to a record $1,515 billion.</li>
<li>Overall, net household financial wealth (assets less liabilities) rose by $34.5 billion to $1041.6 billion at the end of December quarter. Financial wealth is up 4.0 per cent on a year ago but is still down 12.7 per cent from the record high set in the September quarter 2007.</li>
<li>Net household wealth per capita rose from $44,936 to $46,330. Per capita wealth is up only 7.0 per cent over the past five years and up 32.2 per cent over the past decade.</li>
<li>The household debt to liquid assets ratio fell by 0.4 percentage points to 160.1 per cent in the December quarter. The ratio shows that households do not have sufficient readily liquefiable assets to cover outstanding debt, highlighting a degree of vulnerability in the current economic environment.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/more-liquid.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6742" title="more liquid" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/more-liquid.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/more-liquid.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/more-liquid-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/cashed-up-companies.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6743" title="cashed up companies" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/cashed-up-companies.png" alt="" width="447" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/cashed-up-companies.png 639w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/cashed-up-companies-300x211.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 447px) 100vw, 447px" /></a></p>
<ul>
<li>Foreigners purchased $20.3 billion of Australian equities in the December quarter &#8211; the highest result in 15 months &#8211; since September 2009. In the December quarter the Aussie dollar hit highs of US101.5 cents in early November, before easing over the following month, thus providing a buying opportunity for foreign investors.</li>
<li>Foreign investors held $586.2 billion of Australian listed shares as at the end of December, up $31.9 billion (5.8 per cent) over the quarter. Foreigners held 41.9 per cent of Australian shares, unchanged over the quarter and not far short of the 12-year high of 43.3 per cent in March 2009 (when the Aussie was at US68.7 cents).</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/our-sharemarket-dictated-by-foreigners.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6744" title="our sharemarket dictated by foreigners" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/our-sharemarket-dictated-by-foreigners.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/our-sharemarket-dictated-by-foreigners.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/our-sharemarket-dictated-by-foreigners-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<ul>
<li>Assets held by superannuation funds (pension funds) rose by $40 billion (3.7 per cent) in the December quarter to $1120.9 billion. Super funds held 15.1 per cent of assets in cash and deposits, similar to 15.2 per cent held in September and well above the long-term average of 8 per cent.</li>
<li>Non-equity assets held by Australian companies (non-financial) stood at $652.6 billion at the end of December, a record $100 billion higher than loans. The $552.2 billion held in loans was the lowest in 3-1/2 years. Companies held 30.5 per cent of assets in currency and deposits &#8211; the highest share in 11 years.</li>
<li>The value of listed equities rose by $94.5 billion (5.9 per cent) to $1400.6 billion as at the end of December. The value of currency and deposits rose by $35 billion (2 per cent) to $1599.5 billion</li>
<li>As at the December quarter, 19.7 per cent of assets were held in listed equities (19.8 per cent long-term average); 20.2 per cent held in bonds (17 per cent average); 22.5 per cent held in cash and deposits (20.5 per cent average). Smaller than normal shares of assets were held by unlisted equities (20.3 per cent, compared with 24.1 per cent average) as well as bills of exchange, accounts receivable, derivatives and one-name paper.</li>
</ul>
<h2>What is the importance of the economic data?</h2>
<ul>
<li> The Australian Bureau of Statistics releases the Financial Accounts publication each quarter. The data covers assets, liabilities and financial flows for the key sectors of the economy. Figures on financial wealth help reveal the true state of household finances.</li>
</ul>
<h2>What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</h2>
<ul>
<li>The financial accounts data is essentially backward looking and the Reserve Bank would be well aware that the improvement in wealth over the December quarter would be more muted over the March quarter. Importantly the modest weakness in activity levels, conservative attitudes of consumers and the natural disasters are likely to keep the Reserve Bank on the interest rate sidelines in the near term.</li>
<li>The Reserve Bank has continuously highlighted the strength of corporate and household balance sheets and the latest result will give the Reserve Bank further confidence that the longer term fundamentals for the economy look sound.</li>
<li>Super funds and households are still holding much higher than normal levels in cash. CommSec expects that money to be put to work in equities, leading to further gains in share markets in coming quarters. CommSec expects the ASX200 to reach 5200 by December 2011.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/back-to-normal.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6745" title="back to normal" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/back-to-normal.png" alt="" width="443" height="315" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/back-to-normal.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/back-to-normal-300x213.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/liquid-balance-sheets.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-6746" title="liquid balance sheets" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/liquid-balance-sheets.png" alt="" width="443" height="319" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/liquid-balance-sheets.png 633w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/liquid-balance-sheets-300x215.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 443px) 100vw, 443px" /></a></p>
<div class="disclaimer">
<p>Produced by Commonwealth Research based on information available at the time of publishing. We believe that the information in this report is correct and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to accuracy, reliability or completeness. To the extent permitted by law, neither Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report.</p>
<p>The report has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on the information in this report, consider the appropriateness of the information, having regard to the individual’s objectives, financial situation and needs and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. In the case of certain securities Commonwealth Bank of Australia is or may be the only market maker.</p>
<p>This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 a wholly owned but not guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia. This report is approved and distributed in the UK by Commonwealth Bank of Australia incorporated in Australia with limited liability. Registered in England No. BR250 and regulated in the UK by the Financial Services Authority (FSA). This report does not purport to be a complete statement or summary. For the purpose of the FSA rules, this report and related services are not intended for private customers and are not available to them.</p>
<p>Commonwealth Bank of Australia and its subsidiaries have effected or may effect transactions for their own account in any investments or related investments referred to in this report.</p>
</div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/03/household-wealth-levels-nears-3-year-high-company-cash-holdings-at-a-11-year-high/">Household wealth levels nears 3-year high; Company cash holdings at a 11-year high</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.adviservoice.com.au">AdviserVoice</a>.</p>
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                <title>Insights and themes impacting Asia Pacific companies</title>
                <link>https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/02/insights-and-themes-impacting-asia-pacific-companies/</link>
                <comments>https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/02/insights-and-themes-impacting-asia-pacific-companies/#respond</comments>
                <pubDate>Tue, 08 Feb 2011 04:06:16 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator>
                                    </dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Managers Corner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asian markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[balance sheets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emerging Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fidelity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial advisers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial planners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial planning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[profits]]></category>
                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://adviservoice.com.au/?p=5694</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<h1>1.0 Introduction</h1>
<p>Fidelity International’s analysts, who are at the heart of Fidelity’s investment process, actively meet with and review over 90% of the world’s largest listed companies on behalf of our over five million customers across Europe and Asia Pacific.</p>
<p>Our proprietary ‘bottom-up’ research is central to Fidelity’s investment process. Developing this research relies heavily on the quality and caliber of our analysts. They must have strong and independent thought, show a commitment to unearthing new and exciting investment opportunities, and work as a team with our global portfolio managers to buy and sell stocks at the right time, at the right value.</p>
<p>Every day a Fidelity analyst is meeting with a company, talking to its senior management or being briefed by its many stakeholders. They therefore develop an in-depth knowledge and thorough understanding of a company, its competitors, management, suppliers and clients.</p>
<p>These analysts are in a unique position to gain insights and thoughts from some of the world’s leading companies about their ideas for the future, their insights into current trends, and their plans in terms of capital expenditure, expansion, mergers and acquisitions.</p>
<p>To gain a better understanding of these themes and take a closer look at the more interesting issues facing some of Asia Pacific’s listed companies during 2011, we asked our fixed income and equities analysts to respond to a survey in December of last year.</p>
<p>The survey asked over 60 Asia Pacific Fidelity analysts to outline general themes, issues and opportunities they were hearing or witnessing from the companies they cover during Jan – Dec 2010.</p>
<p>This report is a snapshot of this knowledge across the Asia Pacific region which we hope you will find interesting and helpful as you make your own investment decisions.</p>
<h1>3.0 About Fidelity</h1>
<h2>A global leader in investment management</h2>
<p>Fidelity International is a global leader in investment management. Established in 1969, Fidelity has a presence in 23 countries and territories around the world and employs 4,676 people. Investment management is Fidelity’s primary business, managing US$231.6 billion in assets for millions of customers – major institutions through to individuals – spread over more than 750 equity, fixed income, property and asset allocation funds. Fidelity’s research spans the world – over 350 investment professionals within Fidelity International plus over 650 from associated companies contribute to and share the investment insights used by our portfolio managers.</p>
<h2>Fidelity’s research and analysts</h2>
<p>Fidelity adopts a research-driven, bottom-up approach to portfolio construction. As active managers, we believe that markets are only semi-efficient, meaning that markets, sectors and stocks can be overvalued or undervalued at any point in time and that research can uncover profitable opportunities.</p>
<p>Fund portfolios are built from the bottom up, security by security, taking account of general market trends but not being driven by them. Portfolio managers are responsible for their funds and encouraged to develop their individual flair, while benefiting from global research contributed to and shared investment professionals within Fidelity International and associated companies.</p>
<p>Analysts contribute to global research, undertaking extensive inquiries at all levels of a company to understand how it is positioned to deliver results for investors. Whether equities, fixed income or property-related funds, it is only through this first-hand contact with companies – rather than relying purely on a non-affiliated firm’s research – that they can fully evaluate an investment’s true potential and consistently add value for investors.</p>
<p>Fidelity analysts and portfolio managers across the globe access senior company management, their offices, their plants and factory floors. They talk to company’s suppliers, distributors and customers to build a three-dimensional view of every company in which they invest.</p>
<h1>4.0 Key findings</h1>
<h2>Asian consumer bolsters another solid year of growth ahead</h2>
<h3>Revenue and operating profits</h3>
<p>Over 77% of analysts said the companies they met with during 2010 are likely to see improved sales flows of 10% or more in 2011.</p>
<p>50% of analysts said they expect operating profits to grow in excess of 10% in 2011. This expectation is typical for Asia Pacific companies and in line with previous years, confirming that 2011 will be yet another year of solid growth levels for companies across the region.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5695" title="2011 expectations" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations-1024x890.png" alt="" width="502" height="436" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations-1024x890.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations-300x260.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations.png 1048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 502px) 100vw, 502px" /></a></p>
<h2>Measurements used</h2>
<ul>
<li>Profitability continues to be the most common measurement and key driver of success by management in Asia Pacific companies (64%) followed by share price performance (16%) and sales (10%).</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5696" title="measurement of success" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success-1024x466.png" alt="" width="614" height="280" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success-1024x466.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success-300x136.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success.png 1038w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h2>Time horizons</h2>
<ul>
<li>With respect to time horizons, most companies (66%) in the region are focused on delivering 2-3 year strategies, adopting a medium to long term view overall which is again, a common benchmark in Asia Pacific organisations.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5697" title="time horizons" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons-1024x453.png" alt="" width="614" height="272" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons-1024x453.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons-300x132.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons.png 1068w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h2>The Japanese profit imperative</h2>
<p style="text-align: left;">That profitability is a key determinant of a company’s value should come as no surprise, particularly in a weakening global economic outlook. The Japanese market, however, takes this metric to the extreme: 90% of respondents indicated it was the primary measure of success. The structurally lower margins in Japan (which relates to such issues as too much competition, lack of a competitive takeover culture, unwillingness to allow clearing through bankruptcy, etc) may indeed be the reason for management to have a more intense focus on it. The issues are however, structural so any focus on profit may not necessarily result in any rapid improvement in the situation.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5698" title="Japanese profit imperative" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative-1024x998.png" alt="" width="614" height="599" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative-1024x998.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative-300x292.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative.png 1199w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h2>The Asian consumer</h2>
<p style="text-align: left;">The top theme fuelling this profit and sales growth that analysts indicated is linked to Asian consumption growth. In contrast with the west, retail and consumption in Asia have shown remarkable resilience, even through the crisis. Asian retail sales volumes increased by 4.8% in 2009 and 5.7% in 2010, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit, with annual growth accelerating to above 6% to generate a remarkable US$8.7trn in sales by 2014. China – the one market in Asia where private consumption is importantly growing faster even then GDP overall – in particular is being seen as a regional growth engine, and this was a key theme that underscored our analysts’ observations.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">In particular, China’s consumption story loomed large as a theme for our analysts. Yet, China is by no means the only component of the Asian consumption story. Outside of China, emerging Asia not only has strong domestic demand – but also a demographic dividend to go with it. India has a rapidly expanding middle class, and an overall labour force expanding by a world-beating 2m a year. Growth in Indonesia’s domestic consumption market, which now makes up 60% of its economy, recently climbed to a 18-month high of 5.2%.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Moreover, this consumption story is no longer limited to a single market sector or product category theme. Our analysts saw growth in numerous areas, such as autos, infrastructure, healthcare, luxury products.</p>
<h2>All cashed up (and looking to spend?)</h2>
<h3>Balance sheet strength</h3>
<p>63% of our analysts feel the balance sheets of the companies they cover are strong, very strong or extremely strong. Whilst none of these descriptions necessarily implies “too strong”, clearly companies in Asia are now carrying too much cash on their balance sheets. This is a natural reaction to coming through a deep recession and credit crunch. In Asia, the lessons were learnt in 1997, and companies have run strong balance sheets ever since. This stood them in good stead in the 2008 credit crunch. History would indicate that as confidence returns, companies will no longer see the need to hoard so much cash, as it lowers return on equity. But are we seeing evidence of this yet, and how will they deploy the cash?</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/strong-balance-sheets.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-5699" title="strong balance sheets" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/strong-balance-sheets.png" alt="" width="612" height="254" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/strong-balance-sheets.png 1020w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/strong-balance-sheets-300x124.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 612px) 100vw, 612px" /></a></p>
<p>Around a third of our analysts (29%) detected a change in attitude and approach to managing this cash surplus. This was the case for Japan as well, where several of our analysts sense that companies have moved on from taking a defensive stance of hoarding cash. Given the bloated nature of balance sheets, some may view this result as a disappointingly low number. However, it seems that some companies may require more time to feel confident enough in the global recovery to deploy their cash piles. Those who do however, plan to deploy the surplus, intend to spend it during 2011 in three key areas: dividend payouts, capital expenditure and acquisitions. In Japan, the primary focus is likely to be dividend payouts (42%) compared to Asia with a primary focus on capital expenditure and acquisitions (both ranking at 30% each).</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Higher dividend yields and share buy backs are both positive to the Asian market growth story. If you have underlying revenue growth of 10%, there is likely to be some operational gearing, and earnings growth should be significantly higher. In addition, you can add the dividend yield to calculate total shareholder return. If this holds true, equity shareholders in Asian companies can look forward to good capital growth coupled with increasing income; a double-benefit to returns.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5700" title="cash intentions" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions-1024x371.png" alt="" width="614" height="223" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions-1024x371.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions-300x108.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions.png 1034w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h3>Capital expenditure and expansion</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Most analysts believe the companies they cover are looking to expand their operations in 2011 more rapidly by opening new facilities in locations throughout Asia but outside of Japan (36%), or opening new facilities in existing locations (21%).</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Interestingly, more Japanese companies have indicated their intention to expand in Asia ex-Japan compared to Asian companies (54% vs 21%).</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The majority of companies that are looking to expand in 2011 do not intend to increase their capital expenditure as an overall percentage of their revenues (73%) and will use their expected dollar increase in overall revenues to build up their business; reinvesting in the Asian growth story and driving organic growth. So companies are looking to expand but the rate of expansion is not expected to increase. Instead, it will grow in line with sales, and thus perhaps in line with free cash flow growth. As a result, this may not equate to any serious reduction in cash piles as capex will be offset by incoming operational cashflows.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5701" title="2011 operations expansion" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion-1024x712.png" alt="" width="614" height="427" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion-1024x712.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion-300x208.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion.png 1041w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5702" title="2011 expansions" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions-1024x344.png" alt="" width="614" height="206" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions-1024x344.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions-300x101.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions.png 1122w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h3>The US recovery matters</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Recognising that domestic profit growth in the region is also reliant on non-Asia Pacific-related economic conditions, many analysts indicated that the US economy in 2011 will be a key factor that they and the companies they cover will be watching. The impacts of a further decline or even signs of further recovery were noted as a key factors that could impact the growth momentum of Asia Pacific companies.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">However, the developed world and the exports demanded by the US, are still a very important engine of growth for many Asian companies. If global demand diminishes, those companies in Asia that are focused on exports will suffer and as a result, analysts continue to believe that the outlook for the US and European economies remains an important factor.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">According to the World Bank’s latest “Global Economic Prospects”, domestic demand in emerging economies accounted for over half of global growth in 2010. The developed world grew at 2.8% whilst the emerging world grew at 7%. However, the developed world and the exports demanded by the US, is sill a very important engine of growth for many Asian companies. If global demand diminishes, those companies in Asia focused on exports will suffer and as a result, analysts continue to believe that the outlook for the US and European economies remains an important factor.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">In addition, the concentration on expanding production or sales capacity in China and other Asian markets, provokes the question “can the Asian growth accommodate all this expansion?” The US recovery is needed to help absorb some of this new capacity and sustain the growth momentum.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Some of our analysts also focus on the rise of intra-Asian trade and how this will impact Asian companies. It’s important to note however, that intra-Asian trade often involves the shipping of components (from Japan to China for example) for final assembly and ultimately destination to the US and Europe. The iphone is a good example – designed in California, it is assembled in China by a Taiwanese company using components made in Japan (Japanese components account for about a third of the iphone’s material costs). So, domestic demand in Asia and developed market demand in US and Europe are both key drivers of future success.</p>
<h3>Global leadership vs global mindset</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Very few of the companies analysts met in the region during 2010 are already global leaders and very few, in the eyes of our analysts, have the potential to become global leaders in the next five years.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The vast majority of companies do, however, have a global strategy as well as management teams who actively consider both global opportunities in addition to domestic ones.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5703" title="global leaders survey" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey-950x1024.png" alt="" width="570" height="614" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey-950x1024.png 950w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey-278x300.png 278w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey.png 1055w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 570px) 100vw, 570px" /></a>Certainly, a number of firms from Asia have become household names globally, largely through scaling up domestic market competencies into international positions through market share acquisition: hence India’s world-beating business process outsourcing sector, or Korea’s digital device giants, or Australia’s leaders in the ‘rocks and crops’ space.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The traditional sense of going global, i.e. providing globally competitive products and services to win market share away from home, may be changing. For Asian companies busy capturing growth opportunities in their home ground, venturing into global markets and investing into developing globally attractive products may not be a high priority. This becomes a slightly different story for Japan, where globalisation is a requirement to grow for some companies.</p>
<h3>Japan and China still on track</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Whilst local and global consensus tends to assume that Japan’s maturing economy will cripple Japanese enterprises ability to head global competition, our Tokyo analysts point out that Japan will continue to generate global leaders. Half of our Tokyo analysts say that their sectors already have some or many global leaders, and 42% say some companies in their respective sectors have the potential to become global leaders in the next five years.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Most of these sectors already have proven global leaders today (such as electronics, auto &amp; auto parts, machinery, trading companies) but few new faces have the potential to make it to the global league tables such as the internet or entertainment sectors.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Outside Japan, we tend to think of Samsung, LG and Hyundai and think the list stops there. But actually there are more Asian leaders than we think, typically in non-branded areas such as the Indian generic pharmaceutical companies or for example, the Chinese dominance in rare earths.</p>
<h3>Corporate governance</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Half the analysts surveyed said it will take 10 years or longer for the companies they meet within Asia today to adopt global standards with only 2 1% of companies operating at this level today.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5704" title="new internet and mobile technology" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology-1024x363.png" alt="" width="614" height="218" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology-1024x363.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology-300x106.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology.png 1056w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5705" title="climate change attitudes" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes-1024x362.png" alt="" width="614" height="217" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes-1024x362.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes-300x106.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes.png 1059w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h3>A different perspective in Japan</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">It bears noting that Japanese responses are more enthusiastic about the opportunities that these technology trends offer. Today Japan already is a global leader in manufacturing display screens, ICs and chipsets which are critical inputs into the supply chain, and our Tokyo analysts highlight additional interesting growth opportunities, such as tablet computing, mobile gaming and payment platforms, and display technologies. The Japanese government’s huge commitments (through subsidies and incentives) to push its companies into global leadership positions in green technologies likely make climate change a more tangible and exciting opportunity there than in the region as a whole.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<h2><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5706" title="more internet and mobile" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile-1024x371.png" alt="" width="614" height="223" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile-1024x371.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile-300x108.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile.png 1034w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a>Key challenges and issues</h2>
<p style="text-align: left;">When asked to identify the leading challenge facing companies in 2011, the three most popular themes our analysts raised were as follows:</p>
<ul>
<li>25% Regulation: government policies, tax, government spending and political uncertainties</li>
<li>20% Inflation: Inflation causing rising costs, rising interest rates, fiscal tightening</li>
<li>10% Competition: price competition, pricing pressure, foreign competitors, domestic consumption</li>
<li>29% of our analysts are concerned about governments tightening their grip in areas such as preventing oligopolistic markets, enforcing product liability, controlling labour standards etc; reflecting governments’ keenness to keep an eye on consumer protection as private consumption becomes a key growth engine for the region.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: left;">Whilst regulation and competition are perennial factors that concern companies and analysts, inflation is the biggest new concern. Expressing itself through higher wage costs and higher raw material costs, it is likely to be a big headwind for many companies this year</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The consumer, whilst more confident than in 2009, may not be robust enough to absorb a pass-through of higher costs.</p>
<h1>6.0 The final word</h1>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<h3>Matthew Sutherland, Head of Research, Asia Pacific, Fidelity International</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">“If there was nothing left to worry about, markets would be at a peak. But there is plenty left to worry about – persistently high unemployment in the US, fiscal belt-tightening in the UK, the seismic cracks appearing in the fabric of the Eurozone and its currency, monetary tightening to arrest inflation in China. I expect the bull market to go on ‘climbing the wall of worry’ this year.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Companies are indicating significant levels of revenue growth this year. This is good news, and should provide the bedrock for another strong year of market performance. The potential fly in the ointment here is likely to be inflation. It is expressing itself via higher wages and higher raw material costs, and could result in margin expectations being reduced as the year goes on. This would not be atypical – it’s the reason “sell in May and go away” works as a market adage.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Aside from revenue growth, additional benefits will come from an increased willingness of companies to do something constructive with the overly-large cash piles they built up as a reaction to the problems of 2008/9. Interestingly, whilst they will spend on capex, capex will not grow as a percentage of sales. More importantly, they are likely to give more back to shareholders via increased dividends and buybacks. We should thus have a year with good earnings growth coupled with higher yields and buy-backs, which makes for much higher total shareholder returns.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">It’s interesting that analysts are still focused on the US economy. They are right to do so. Whilst domestic demand in emerging market accounted for half the world’s growth last year, according to the World Bank, the other half of the world’s growth came from other areas, and the US economy is still the world’s largest. So at the margin, its success or failure to recover can make a big difference to companies’ ability to grow, especially in the export areas of the economy.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The analysts did not really mention this, but the longer term worries in my view include social unrest and political instability resulting from higher food costs, water shortages, and the growing disparity between rich and poor.”</p>
<h3>Hiroki Sampei, Director of Research, Japan, Fidelity International</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">“The results tell us that companies across Asia Pacific continue to expect a strong Asian consumption demand, as the middle class grows and urbanisation progresses. Another interesting point is that many of our Asia ex Japan analysts are more concerned about a supply shortage in workforce, energy, infrastructure etc to back up this growth, rather than an over supply of production capacity.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">With so much expectation on the Asian Consumer engine, we need to be levelheaded about how far earnings growth can be sustained by this single engine. This is why the US recovery does matter for the Asia Pacific companies to continue their path of healthy growth. On the contrary, when the US recovery happens, this may potentially fuel inflation which many of our analysts have flagged as a potential bottleneck for growth.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The daily company visits and research activities conducted by our analysts, aggregate into a vast database of information that help us develop our own understanding of what is happening from a macro perspective. Another advantage for us, is that our approach allows us to take in what is happening even before the macro statistics are released. From here we identify the risks and opportunities that may impact the companies we research and apply this insight back into our stock picking.”</p>
<h3>Sabita Prakash, Head of Fixed Income, Asia Pacific</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">“Asia’s credit universe largely spans corporates in the more basic infrastructure services, including property, commodities, TMT, energy and utilities, reflective of the emerging nature of the underlying economies. Quite naturally, the prospects for companies in these sectors are biased towards growth given the emerging markets they support, largely China, India and Indonesia. Nonetheless, the relatively stable nature of infrastructure demand leads our fixed analysts to expect that top and bottomlines may be stable rather than grow substantially, which is ideal from a credit investor’s perspective.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">While our fixed income analysts do expect strong bottom-lines, they are somewhat wary of chunky capex and M&amp;A plans that are generally supported by cash flows, but often substantially through external (debt) financing. That said, analysts are sanguine about credit quality given Asian companies’ strong liquidity profiles built up over the past few years. Furthermore, company managements appear to be cautiously optimistic following lessons learned from the crisis. In terms of expansion, analysts felt there was a greater focus on gaining regional scale and market share rather than expanding globally. The two notes of caution the analysts repeatedly mentioned were regulatory risks that could put the brakes on planned expansion and corporate governance standards, which have been improving, but are still considered to be low compared to other developed markets.”</p>
<div class="disclaimer">The content of this document is intended to be viewed for informational purposes only and cannot be construed as an offer or solicitation to purchase any investment fund or product of Fidelity, or an offer or solicitation to engage the investment management services of Fidelity. This document may not be circulated or reproduced without the written consent of Fidelity. FIL Limited, established in Bermuda, and its subsidiaries are commonly referred to as Fidelity or Fidelity International. Fidelity, Fidelity International, and Fidelity International and Pyramid Logo are trademarks of FIL Limited.</div>
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                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1>1.0 Introduction</h1>
<p>Fidelity International’s analysts, who are at the heart of Fidelity’s investment process, actively meet with and review over 90% of the world’s largest listed companies on behalf of our over five million customers across Europe and Asia Pacific.</p>
<p>Our proprietary ‘bottom-up’ research is central to Fidelity’s investment process. Developing this research relies heavily on the quality and caliber of our analysts. They must have strong and independent thought, show a commitment to unearthing new and exciting investment opportunities, and work as a team with our global portfolio managers to buy and sell stocks at the right time, at the right value.</p>
<p>Every day a Fidelity analyst is meeting with a company, talking to its senior management or being briefed by its many stakeholders. They therefore develop an in-depth knowledge and thorough understanding of a company, its competitors, management, suppliers and clients.</p>
<p>These analysts are in a unique position to gain insights and thoughts from some of the world’s leading companies about their ideas for the future, their insights into current trends, and their plans in terms of capital expenditure, expansion, mergers and acquisitions.</p>
<p>To gain a better understanding of these themes and take a closer look at the more interesting issues facing some of Asia Pacific’s listed companies during 2011, we asked our fixed income and equities analysts to respond to a survey in December of last year.</p>
<p>The survey asked over 60 Asia Pacific Fidelity analysts to outline general themes, issues and opportunities they were hearing or witnessing from the companies they cover during Jan – Dec 2010.</p>
<p>This report is a snapshot of this knowledge across the Asia Pacific region which we hope you will find interesting and helpful as you make your own investment decisions.</p>
<h1>3.0 About Fidelity</h1>
<h2>A global leader in investment management</h2>
<p>Fidelity International is a global leader in investment management. Established in 1969, Fidelity has a presence in 23 countries and territories around the world and employs 4,676 people. Investment management is Fidelity’s primary business, managing US$231.6 billion in assets for millions of customers – major institutions through to individuals – spread over more than 750 equity, fixed income, property and asset allocation funds. Fidelity’s research spans the world – over 350 investment professionals within Fidelity International plus over 650 from associated companies contribute to and share the investment insights used by our portfolio managers.</p>
<h2>Fidelity’s research and analysts</h2>
<p>Fidelity adopts a research-driven, bottom-up approach to portfolio construction. As active managers, we believe that markets are only semi-efficient, meaning that markets, sectors and stocks can be overvalued or undervalued at any point in time and that research can uncover profitable opportunities.</p>
<p>Fund portfolios are built from the bottom up, security by security, taking account of general market trends but not being driven by them. Portfolio managers are responsible for their funds and encouraged to develop their individual flair, while benefiting from global research contributed to and shared investment professionals within Fidelity International and associated companies.</p>
<p>Analysts contribute to global research, undertaking extensive inquiries at all levels of a company to understand how it is positioned to deliver results for investors. Whether equities, fixed income or property-related funds, it is only through this first-hand contact with companies – rather than relying purely on a non-affiliated firm’s research – that they can fully evaluate an investment’s true potential and consistently add value for investors.</p>
<p>Fidelity analysts and portfolio managers across the globe access senior company management, their offices, their plants and factory floors. They talk to company’s suppliers, distributors and customers to build a three-dimensional view of every company in which they invest.</p>
<h1>4.0 Key findings</h1>
<h2>Asian consumer bolsters another solid year of growth ahead</h2>
<h3>Revenue and operating profits</h3>
<p>Over 77% of analysts said the companies they met with during 2010 are likely to see improved sales flows of 10% or more in 2011.</p>
<p>50% of analysts said they expect operating profits to grow in excess of 10% in 2011. This expectation is typical for Asia Pacific companies and in line with previous years, confirming that 2011 will be yet another year of solid growth levels for companies across the region.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5695" title="2011 expectations" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations-1024x890.png" alt="" width="502" height="436" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations-1024x890.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations-300x260.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expectations.png 1048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 502px) 100vw, 502px" /></a></p>
<h2>Measurements used</h2>
<ul>
<li>Profitability continues to be the most common measurement and key driver of success by management in Asia Pacific companies (64%) followed by share price performance (16%) and sales (10%).</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5696" title="measurement of success" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success-1024x466.png" alt="" width="614" height="280" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success-1024x466.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success-300x136.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/measurement-of-success.png 1038w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h2>Time horizons</h2>
<ul>
<li>With respect to time horizons, most companies (66%) in the region are focused on delivering 2-3 year strategies, adopting a medium to long term view overall which is again, a common benchmark in Asia Pacific organisations.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5697" title="time horizons" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons-1024x453.png" alt="" width="614" height="272" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons-1024x453.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons-300x132.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/time-horizons.png 1068w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h2>The Japanese profit imperative</h2>
<p style="text-align: left;">That profitability is a key determinant of a company’s value should come as no surprise, particularly in a weakening global economic outlook. The Japanese market, however, takes this metric to the extreme: 90% of respondents indicated it was the primary measure of success. The structurally lower margins in Japan (which relates to such issues as too much competition, lack of a competitive takeover culture, unwillingness to allow clearing through bankruptcy, etc) may indeed be the reason for management to have a more intense focus on it. The issues are however, structural so any focus on profit may not necessarily result in any rapid improvement in the situation.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5698" title="Japanese profit imperative" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative-1024x998.png" alt="" width="614" height="599" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative-1024x998.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative-300x292.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/Japanes-profit-imperative.png 1199w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h2>The Asian consumer</h2>
<p style="text-align: left;">The top theme fuelling this profit and sales growth that analysts indicated is linked to Asian consumption growth. In contrast with the west, retail and consumption in Asia have shown remarkable resilience, even through the crisis. Asian retail sales volumes increased by 4.8% in 2009 and 5.7% in 2010, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit, with annual growth accelerating to above 6% to generate a remarkable US$8.7trn in sales by 2014. China – the one market in Asia where private consumption is importantly growing faster even then GDP overall – in particular is being seen as a regional growth engine, and this was a key theme that underscored our analysts’ observations.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">In particular, China’s consumption story loomed large as a theme for our analysts. Yet, China is by no means the only component of the Asian consumption story. Outside of China, emerging Asia not only has strong domestic demand – but also a demographic dividend to go with it. India has a rapidly expanding middle class, and an overall labour force expanding by a world-beating 2m a year. Growth in Indonesia’s domestic consumption market, which now makes up 60% of its economy, recently climbed to a 18-month high of 5.2%.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Moreover, this consumption story is no longer limited to a single market sector or product category theme. Our analysts saw growth in numerous areas, such as autos, infrastructure, healthcare, luxury products.</p>
<h2>All cashed up (and looking to spend?)</h2>
<h3>Balance sheet strength</h3>
<p>63% of our analysts feel the balance sheets of the companies they cover are strong, very strong or extremely strong. Whilst none of these descriptions necessarily implies “too strong”, clearly companies in Asia are now carrying too much cash on their balance sheets. This is a natural reaction to coming through a deep recession and credit crunch. In Asia, the lessons were learnt in 1997, and companies have run strong balance sheets ever since. This stood them in good stead in the 2008 credit crunch. History would indicate that as confidence returns, companies will no longer see the need to hoard so much cash, as it lowers return on equity. But are we seeing evidence of this yet, and how will they deploy the cash?</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/strong-balance-sheets.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-5699" title="strong balance sheets" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/strong-balance-sheets.png" alt="" width="612" height="254" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/strong-balance-sheets.png 1020w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/strong-balance-sheets-300x124.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 612px) 100vw, 612px" /></a></p>
<p>Around a third of our analysts (29%) detected a change in attitude and approach to managing this cash surplus. This was the case for Japan as well, where several of our analysts sense that companies have moved on from taking a defensive stance of hoarding cash. Given the bloated nature of balance sheets, some may view this result as a disappointingly low number. However, it seems that some companies may require more time to feel confident enough in the global recovery to deploy their cash piles. Those who do however, plan to deploy the surplus, intend to spend it during 2011 in three key areas: dividend payouts, capital expenditure and acquisitions. In Japan, the primary focus is likely to be dividend payouts (42%) compared to Asia with a primary focus on capital expenditure and acquisitions (both ranking at 30% each).</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Higher dividend yields and share buy backs are both positive to the Asian market growth story. If you have underlying revenue growth of 10%, there is likely to be some operational gearing, and earnings growth should be significantly higher. In addition, you can add the dividend yield to calculate total shareholder return. If this holds true, equity shareholders in Asian companies can look forward to good capital growth coupled with increasing income; a double-benefit to returns.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5700" title="cash intentions" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions-1024x371.png" alt="" width="614" height="223" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions-1024x371.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions-300x108.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/cash-intentions.png 1034w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h3>Capital expenditure and expansion</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Most analysts believe the companies they cover are looking to expand their operations in 2011 more rapidly by opening new facilities in locations throughout Asia but outside of Japan (36%), or opening new facilities in existing locations (21%).</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Interestingly, more Japanese companies have indicated their intention to expand in Asia ex-Japan compared to Asian companies (54% vs 21%).</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The majority of companies that are looking to expand in 2011 do not intend to increase their capital expenditure as an overall percentage of their revenues (73%) and will use their expected dollar increase in overall revenues to build up their business; reinvesting in the Asian growth story and driving organic growth. So companies are looking to expand but the rate of expansion is not expected to increase. Instead, it will grow in line with sales, and thus perhaps in line with free cash flow growth. As a result, this may not equate to any serious reduction in cash piles as capex will be offset by incoming operational cashflows.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5701" title="2011 operations expansion" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion-1024x712.png" alt="" width="614" height="427" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion-1024x712.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion-300x208.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-operations-expansion.png 1041w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5702" title="2011 expansions" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions-1024x344.png" alt="" width="614" height="206" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions-1024x344.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions-300x101.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/2011-expansions.png 1122w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h3>The US recovery matters</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Recognising that domestic profit growth in the region is also reliant on non-Asia Pacific-related economic conditions, many analysts indicated that the US economy in 2011 will be a key factor that they and the companies they cover will be watching. The impacts of a further decline or even signs of further recovery were noted as a key factors that could impact the growth momentum of Asia Pacific companies.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">However, the developed world and the exports demanded by the US, are still a very important engine of growth for many Asian companies. If global demand diminishes, those companies in Asia that are focused on exports will suffer and as a result, analysts continue to believe that the outlook for the US and European economies remains an important factor.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">According to the World Bank’s latest “Global Economic Prospects”, domestic demand in emerging economies accounted for over half of global growth in 2010. The developed world grew at 2.8% whilst the emerging world grew at 7%. However, the developed world and the exports demanded by the US, is sill a very important engine of growth for many Asian companies. If global demand diminishes, those companies in Asia focused on exports will suffer and as a result, analysts continue to believe that the outlook for the US and European economies remains an important factor.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">In addition, the concentration on expanding production or sales capacity in China and other Asian markets, provokes the question “can the Asian growth accommodate all this expansion?” The US recovery is needed to help absorb some of this new capacity and sustain the growth momentum.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Some of our analysts also focus on the rise of intra-Asian trade and how this will impact Asian companies. It’s important to note however, that intra-Asian trade often involves the shipping of components (from Japan to China for example) for final assembly and ultimately destination to the US and Europe. The iphone is a good example – designed in California, it is assembled in China by a Taiwanese company using components made in Japan (Japanese components account for about a third of the iphone’s material costs). So, domestic demand in Asia and developed market demand in US and Europe are both key drivers of future success.</p>
<h3>Global leadership vs global mindset</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Very few of the companies analysts met in the region during 2010 are already global leaders and very few, in the eyes of our analysts, have the potential to become global leaders in the next five years.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The vast majority of companies do, however, have a global strategy as well as management teams who actively consider both global opportunities in addition to domestic ones.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5703" title="global leaders survey" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey-950x1024.png" alt="" width="570" height="614" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey-950x1024.png 950w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey-278x300.png 278w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/global-leaders-survey.png 1055w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 570px) 100vw, 570px" /></a>Certainly, a number of firms from Asia have become household names globally, largely through scaling up domestic market competencies into international positions through market share acquisition: hence India’s world-beating business process outsourcing sector, or Korea’s digital device giants, or Australia’s leaders in the ‘rocks and crops’ space.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The traditional sense of going global, i.e. providing globally competitive products and services to win market share away from home, may be changing. For Asian companies busy capturing growth opportunities in their home ground, venturing into global markets and investing into developing globally attractive products may not be a high priority. This becomes a slightly different story for Japan, where globalisation is a requirement to grow for some companies.</p>
<h3>Japan and China still on track</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Whilst local and global consensus tends to assume that Japan’s maturing economy will cripple Japanese enterprises ability to head global competition, our Tokyo analysts point out that Japan will continue to generate global leaders. Half of our Tokyo analysts say that their sectors already have some or many global leaders, and 42% say some companies in their respective sectors have the potential to become global leaders in the next five years.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Most of these sectors already have proven global leaders today (such as electronics, auto &amp; auto parts, machinery, trading companies) but few new faces have the potential to make it to the global league tables such as the internet or entertainment sectors.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Outside Japan, we tend to think of Samsung, LG and Hyundai and think the list stops there. But actually there are more Asian leaders than we think, typically in non-branded areas such as the Indian generic pharmaceutical companies or for example, the Chinese dominance in rare earths.</p>
<h3>Corporate governance</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">Half the analysts surveyed said it will take 10 years or longer for the companies they meet within Asia today to adopt global standards with only 2 1% of companies operating at this level today.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5704" title="new internet and mobile technology" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology-1024x363.png" alt="" width="614" height="218" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology-1024x363.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology-300x106.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/new-internet-and-mobile-technology.png 1056w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5705" title="climate change attitudes" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes-1024x362.png" alt="" width="614" height="217" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes-1024x362.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes-300x106.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/climate-change-attitudes.png 1059w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a></p>
<h3>A different perspective in Japan</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">It bears noting that Japanese responses are more enthusiastic about the opportunities that these technology trends offer. Today Japan already is a global leader in manufacturing display screens, ICs and chipsets which are critical inputs into the supply chain, and our Tokyo analysts highlight additional interesting growth opportunities, such as tablet computing, mobile gaming and payment platforms, and display technologies. The Japanese government’s huge commitments (through subsidies and incentives) to push its companies into global leadership positions in green technologies likely make climate change a more tangible and exciting opportunity there than in the region as a whole.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<h2><a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-5706" title="more internet and mobile" src="https://adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile-1024x371.png" alt="" width="614" height="223" srcset="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile-1024x371.png 1024w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile-300x108.png 300w, https://www.adviservoice.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/more-internet-and-mobile.png 1034w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px" /></a>Key challenges and issues</h2>
<p style="text-align: left;">When asked to identify the leading challenge facing companies in 2011, the three most popular themes our analysts raised were as follows:</p>
<ul>
<li>25% Regulation: government policies, tax, government spending and political uncertainties</li>
<li>20% Inflation: Inflation causing rising costs, rising interest rates, fiscal tightening</li>
<li>10% Competition: price competition, pricing pressure, foreign competitors, domestic consumption</li>
<li>29% of our analysts are concerned about governments tightening their grip in areas such as preventing oligopolistic markets, enforcing product liability, controlling labour standards etc; reflecting governments’ keenness to keep an eye on consumer protection as private consumption becomes a key growth engine for the region.</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align: left;">Whilst regulation and competition are perennial factors that concern companies and analysts, inflation is the biggest new concern. Expressing itself through higher wage costs and higher raw material costs, it is likely to be a big headwind for many companies this year</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The consumer, whilst more confident than in 2009, may not be robust enough to absorb a pass-through of higher costs.</p>
<h1>6.0 The final word</h1>
<p style="text-align: left;">
<h3>Matthew Sutherland, Head of Research, Asia Pacific, Fidelity International</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">“If there was nothing left to worry about, markets would be at a peak. But there is plenty left to worry about – persistently high unemployment in the US, fiscal belt-tightening in the UK, the seismic cracks appearing in the fabric of the Eurozone and its currency, monetary tightening to arrest inflation in China. I expect the bull market to go on ‘climbing the wall of worry’ this year.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Companies are indicating significant levels of revenue growth this year. This is good news, and should provide the bedrock for another strong year of market performance. The potential fly in the ointment here is likely to be inflation. It is expressing itself via higher wages and higher raw material costs, and could result in margin expectations being reduced as the year goes on. This would not be atypical – it’s the reason “sell in May and go away” works as a market adage.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Aside from revenue growth, additional benefits will come from an increased willingness of companies to do something constructive with the overly-large cash piles they built up as a reaction to the problems of 2008/9. Interestingly, whilst they will spend on capex, capex will not grow as a percentage of sales. More importantly, they are likely to give more back to shareholders via increased dividends and buybacks. We should thus have a year with good earnings growth coupled with higher yields and buy-backs, which makes for much higher total shareholder returns.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">It’s interesting that analysts are still focused on the US economy. They are right to do so. Whilst domestic demand in emerging market accounted for half the world’s growth last year, according to the World Bank, the other half of the world’s growth came from other areas, and the US economy is still the world’s largest. So at the margin, its success or failure to recover can make a big difference to companies’ ability to grow, especially in the export areas of the economy.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The analysts did not really mention this, but the longer term worries in my view include social unrest and political instability resulting from higher food costs, water shortages, and the growing disparity between rich and poor.”</p>
<h3>Hiroki Sampei, Director of Research, Japan, Fidelity International</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">“The results tell us that companies across Asia Pacific continue to expect a strong Asian consumption demand, as the middle class grows and urbanisation progresses. Another interesting point is that many of our Asia ex Japan analysts are more concerned about a supply shortage in workforce, energy, infrastructure etc to back up this growth, rather than an over supply of production capacity.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">With so much expectation on the Asian Consumer engine, we need to be levelheaded about how far earnings growth can be sustained by this single engine. This is why the US recovery does matter for the Asia Pacific companies to continue their path of healthy growth. On the contrary, when the US recovery happens, this may potentially fuel inflation which many of our analysts have flagged as a potential bottleneck for growth.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The daily company visits and research activities conducted by our analysts, aggregate into a vast database of information that help us develop our own understanding of what is happening from a macro perspective. Another advantage for us, is that our approach allows us to take in what is happening even before the macro statistics are released. From here we identify the risks and opportunities that may impact the companies we research and apply this insight back into our stock picking.”</p>
<h3>Sabita Prakash, Head of Fixed Income, Asia Pacific</h3>
<p style="text-align: left;">“Asia’s credit universe largely spans corporates in the more basic infrastructure services, including property, commodities, TMT, energy and utilities, reflective of the emerging nature of the underlying economies. Quite naturally, the prospects for companies in these sectors are biased towards growth given the emerging markets they support, largely China, India and Indonesia. Nonetheless, the relatively stable nature of infrastructure demand leads our fixed analysts to expect that top and bottomlines may be stable rather than grow substantially, which is ideal from a credit investor’s perspective.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">While our fixed income analysts do expect strong bottom-lines, they are somewhat wary of chunky capex and M&amp;A plans that are generally supported by cash flows, but often substantially through external (debt) financing. That said, analysts are sanguine about credit quality given Asian companies’ strong liquidity profiles built up over the past few years. Furthermore, company managements appear to be cautiously optimistic following lessons learned from the crisis. In terms of expansion, analysts felt there was a greater focus on gaining regional scale and market share rather than expanding globally. The two notes of caution the analysts repeatedly mentioned were regulatory risks that could put the brakes on planned expansion and corporate governance standards, which have been improving, but are still considered to be low compared to other developed markets.”</p>
<div class="disclaimer">The content of this document is intended to be viewed for informational purposes only and cannot be construed as an offer or solicitation to purchase any investment fund or product of Fidelity, or an offer or solicitation to engage the investment management services of Fidelity. This document may not be circulated or reproduced without the written consent of Fidelity. FIL Limited, established in Bermuda, and its subsidiaries are commonly referred to as Fidelity or Fidelity International. Fidelity, Fidelity International, and Fidelity International and Pyramid Logo are trademarks of FIL Limited.</div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/02/insights-and-themes-impacting-asia-pacific-companies/">Insights and themes impacting Asia Pacific companies</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.adviservoice.com.au">AdviserVoice</a>.</p>
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                <title>Two thirds of Asian companies have strong balance sheets, finds Fidelity survey</title>
                <link>https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/02/two-thirds-of-asian-companies-have-strong-balance-sheets-finds-fidelity-survey/</link>
                <comments>https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/02/two-thirds-of-asian-companies-have-strong-balance-sheets-finds-fidelity-survey/#respond</comments>
                <pubDate>Mon, 07 Feb 2011 23:28:35 +0000</pubDate>
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                		<category><![CDATA[From the Source]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[balance sheets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dividends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[emerging economies]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[global economy]]></category>
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                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://adviservoice.com.au/?p=5607</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<ul>
<li>Solid performance with double digit sales and profit growth expected for Asian companies</li>
<li>Inflation, US economy and regulation are key challenges</li>
<li>Companies cashed up and potentially looking to spend</li>
</ul>
<p>Asian companies have emerged from the global financial crisis with very strong balance sheets and good revenue growth expectations, with many of them potentially planning to deploy excess cash in 2011 through acquisitions, capital expenditure or dividend payouts, a survey by Fidelity International has found.</p>
<p>A survey of Fidelity’s analysts in the Asia Pacific region provided the insights from some of the world’s leading companies which they follow closely and in which they invest.</p>
<p>“The vast majority of companies meeting with us in the region continue to have very strong balance sheets (63%) and deploying their excess cash through capex, dividends and buy-backs will improve shareholder returns, and make another strong year of market performance more likely,” said Matthew Sutherland, Head of Fidelity’s Asia Pacific research team.</p>
<p>When asked about profit expectations, over 77% of Fidelity’s analysts said the companies they met with during 2010 expect to see sales growth of over 10% in 2011, and 50% of analysts said they expect operating margins to grow in excess of 10% in 2011. “</p>
<p>While this expectation is typical for Asia Pacific companies and in line with previous years, it does highlight the fact that 2011 may be another year of solid growth levels for companies across the region,” Matthew said.</p>
<p>Across the region, respondents also said the surplus cash they are seeing in Asia Pacific companies is likely to be spent on dividend payouts, capital expenditure or acquisitions. (All three were ranked at 23.5%.)</p>
<p>“Aside from revenue growth, additional benefits may come from an increased willingness of companies to do something constructive with the overly-large cash piles they built up as a reaction to the problems of 2008/9.</p>
<p>“Interestingly, whilst they are likely to spend on capex, capex may not grow as a percentage of sales. More importantly, they are likely to give more back to shareholders via increased dividends and buybacks. We should thus expect a year with good earnings growth coupled with higher yields and buy-backs, which makes for likely higher total shareholder returns.”</p>
<p>Regulation and inflation are recurring themes of concern faced by companies in 2011.</p>
<p>“The potential fly in the ointment in 2011 is likely to be inflation. It is expressing itself via higher wages and higher raw material costs, and could result in margin expectations being reduced as the year goes on,” Matthew added. “Having said that though, if there was nothing left to worry about, markets would be at a peak. The fact there is still concerns means that markets may continue to ‘climb the wall of worry’ in 2011”.</p>
<p>For a complete analysis of the survey, <a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/2011/02/insights-and-themes-impacting-asia-pacific-companies/">click here</a></p>
]]></description>
                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul>
<li>Solid performance with double digit sales and profit growth expected for Asian companies</li>
<li>Inflation, US economy and regulation are key challenges</li>
<li>Companies cashed up and potentially looking to spend</li>
</ul>
<p>Asian companies have emerged from the global financial crisis with very strong balance sheets and good revenue growth expectations, with many of them potentially planning to deploy excess cash in 2011 through acquisitions, capital expenditure or dividend payouts, a survey by Fidelity International has found.</p>
<p>A survey of Fidelity’s analysts in the Asia Pacific region provided the insights from some of the world’s leading companies which they follow closely and in which they invest.</p>
<p>“The vast majority of companies meeting with us in the region continue to have very strong balance sheets (63%) and deploying their excess cash through capex, dividends and buy-backs will improve shareholder returns, and make another strong year of market performance more likely,” said Matthew Sutherland, Head of Fidelity’s Asia Pacific research team.</p>
<p>When asked about profit expectations, over 77% of Fidelity’s analysts said the companies they met with during 2010 expect to see sales growth of over 10% in 2011, and 50% of analysts said they expect operating margins to grow in excess of 10% in 2011. “</p>
<p>While this expectation is typical for Asia Pacific companies and in line with previous years, it does highlight the fact that 2011 may be another year of solid growth levels for companies across the region,” Matthew said.</p>
<p>Across the region, respondents also said the surplus cash they are seeing in Asia Pacific companies is likely to be spent on dividend payouts, capital expenditure or acquisitions. (All three were ranked at 23.5%.)</p>
<p>“Aside from revenue growth, additional benefits may come from an increased willingness of companies to do something constructive with the overly-large cash piles they built up as a reaction to the problems of 2008/9.</p>
<p>“Interestingly, whilst they are likely to spend on capex, capex may not grow as a percentage of sales. More importantly, they are likely to give more back to shareholders via increased dividends and buybacks. We should thus expect a year with good earnings growth coupled with higher yields and buy-backs, which makes for likely higher total shareholder returns.”</p>
<p>Regulation and inflation are recurring themes of concern faced by companies in 2011.</p>
<p>“The potential fly in the ointment in 2011 is likely to be inflation. It is expressing itself via higher wages and higher raw material costs, and could result in margin expectations being reduced as the year goes on,” Matthew added. “Having said that though, if there was nothing left to worry about, markets would be at a peak. The fact there is still concerns means that markets may continue to ‘climb the wall of worry’ in 2011”.</p>
<p>For a complete analysis of the survey, <a href="https://adviservoice.com.au/2011/02/insights-and-themes-impacting-asia-pacific-companies/">click here</a></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.adviservoice.com.au/2011/02/two-thirds-of-asian-companies-have-strong-balance-sheets-finds-fidelity-survey/">Two thirds of Asian companies have strong balance sheets, finds Fidelity survey</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.adviservoice.com.au">AdviserVoice</a>.</p>
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