The encouraging sign is that rental growth appears to be moderating in some markets.

SQM Research has released its latest data on residential property vacancy rates.

Australia’s national residential vacancy rate increased to 1.3% in June 2026, up from 1.2% in May, with the total number of residential vacancies rising slightly to 39,229 dwellings from 37,844 the previous month.

While the increase suggests a modest easing in rental market conditions, vacancy rates remain well below long-term averages, with every capital city continuing to record vacancy rates below 2%, highlighting the ongoing shortage of rental accommodation across Australia.

National vacancy rates

Capital city highlights

Sydney: Vacancy rates increased slightly to 1.6%, up from 1.5% in May, with 11,957 dwellings available. The Sydney rental market has continued to ease modestly, although conditions remain considerably tighter than historical averages.

Melbourne: Vacancy rates held steady at 1.6%, with 8,640 vacancies recorded. Melbourne continues to exhibit relatively balanced rental conditions compared to other capital cities.

Brisbane: Vacancy rates remained unchanged at 0.9%, with 3,065 dwellings available. Rental conditions remain extremely tight as population growth continues to support demand.

Perth: Vacancy rates declined to 0.6%, down from 0.7%, with 1,247 dwellings available. Perth remains one of Australia’s most constrained rental markets.

Adelaide: Vacancy rates remained unchanged at 0.7%, with 1,096 dwellings available. Limited rental stock continues to underpin tight market conditions.

Canberra: Vacancy rates increased to 1.7%, up from 1.6%, with 1,063 dwellings available. The ACT continues to record a gradual easing in rental availability.

Darwin: Vacancy rates remained unchanged at 0.3%, with only 64 dwellings available. Darwin continues to record Australia’s lowest vacancy rate, reflecting an exceptionally tight rental market.

Hobart: Vacancy rates increased to 0.7%, up from 0.6%, with 185 dwellings available. While vacancy rates have risen slightly, rental availability remains constrained.

Advertised rents analysis

National advertised rents remained elevated through July, with combined rents easing 0.4% over the past 30 days but remaining 8.1% higher than a year ago, highlighting the resilience of rental pricing despite a modest increase in vacancies.

The national combined rent average now stands at $697.43 per week, while the capital city average sits at $793.63 per week.

Nationally, house rents eased 0.5% over the month but remain 8.7% higher over the year, while unit rents declined 0.2% monthly and are 7.1% higher annually, suggesting rental growth is beginning to moderate after a sustained period of strong increases.

Sydney: Combined rents eased 0.4% for the month but remain 7.6% higher year-on-year, with house rents averaging $1,149.81 per week.

Melbourne: Combined rents declined 0.3% over the month while remaining 5.9% higher annually, supported by continued demand for well-located properties.

Brisbane: Combined rents rose 1.0% for the month and are 9.1% higher year-on-year, maintaining one of the strongest annual growth rates among the eastern capitals.

Perth: Combined rents declined 1.6% over the month but remain 5.0% higher than a year ago, suggesting some easing following an extended period of exceptional rental growth.

Adelaide: Combined rents increased 0.6% for the month and 3.4% annually, with unit rents continuing to outperform houses.

Canberra: Combined rents rose 0.7% over the month and 5.8% year-on-year, reflecting improving rental demand.

Darwin: Combined rents increased 0.9% for the month and 13.8% annually, continuing to record some of the strongest rental growth in Australia.

Hobart: Combined rents declined 0.9% over the month but remain 12.1% higher year-on-year, reflecting ongoing supply constraints despite recent moderation.

Advertised rents — week ending 12 July 2026

Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, commented: “While the national vacancy rate has edged up to 1.3%, Australia’s rental market remains exceptionally tight by historical standards. Most capital cities continue to record vacancy rates below one per cent or only marginally above, highlighting that rental supply remains insufficient to meet demand.”

“The encouraging sign is that rental growth appears to be moderating in some markets, with national asking rents easing slightly over the past month. However, annual rental growth remains strong at 8.1%, and cities such as Darwin, Hobart and Brisbane continue to experience significant rental inflation.”

“Perth and Darwin remain particularly constrained, with vacancy rates of just 0.6% and 0.3% respectively. Without a substantial increase in the supply of rental housing, affordability pressures are likely to remain a challenge for tenants for some time yet.”

The post National vacancy rate rises to 1.3% – national asking rents increase 8.1% over the past 12 months appeared first on AdviserVoice.

Despite the monthly increase, vacancy rates remain below historical averages, indicating that rental market conditions continue to favour landlords in most parts of the country.

Capital city highlights

Sydney: Vacancy rates rose to 1.3%, up from 1.1% in March, with 9,696 dwellings available. The increase suggests a modest easing in rental market conditions following strong leasing activity earlier in the year.

Melbourne: Vacancy rates increased slightly to 1.5%, from 1.4%, with 8,079 vacancies recorded. Rental conditions remain relatively balanced compared with other major capitals.

Brisbane: Vacancy rates remained tight at 0.8%, with 2,900 dwellings available. The city continues to experience strong tenant demand amid constrained supply.

Perth: Vacancy rates rose marginally to 0.6%, from 0.5%, with 1,138 dwellings vacant. Despite the increase, Perth remains one of the tightest rental markets nationally.

Adelaide: Vacancy rates held steady at 0.7%, with 1,117 dwellings available, reflecting ongoing supply shortages.

Canberra: Vacancy rates increased to 1.4%, from 1.1%, with 873 dwellings vacant. The market has shown signs of easing following tighter conditions earlier in the year.

Darwin: Vacancy rates declined further to 0.3%, from 0.4%, with just 75 dwellings available, marking the tightest rental market in the country.

Hobart: Vacancy rates rose slightly to 0.5%, from 0.4%, with 140 dwellings available, though conditions remain very tight overall.

Advertised rents analysis

National advertised rents continued to rise through May, with combined rents increasing 0.7% over the past 30 days and 7.3% higher year-on-year, reflecting ongoing tight rental market conditions across most capital cities.

The national combined rent average now stands at $696.94 per week, while the capital city average has increased to $794.54, supported by continued growth in both house and unit rents.

Nationally, house rents rose 0.5% for the month and 7.8% over the year, while unit rents increased 0.8% monthly and 6.5% annually, indicating sustained demand for medium-density accommodation.

Sydney: Combined rents rose 0.3% for the month and 7.3% year-on-year, with house rents averaging $1,156.97 per week.

Melbourne: Combined rents increased 0.3% monthly and 6.1% annually, supported by continued gains in unit rents.

Brisbane: Combined rents rose 1.4% for the month and 8.1% over the year, reflecting continued population-driven demand.

Perth: Combined rents declined 0.2% over the month but remain 6.3% higher year-on-year, indicating some short-term easing after sustained growth.

Adelaide: Combined rents fell 0.8% for the month but are still 4.6% higher annually, with unit rents continuing to outperform houses.

Canberra: Combined rents increased 1.3% monthly and 1.4% annually, suggesting improving rental market conditions.

Darwin: Combined rents rose 1.5% for the month and 11.3% year-on-year, maintaining one of the strongest rental growth rates nationally.

Hobart: Combined rents increased 0.5% over the month and 15.2% annually, reflecting continued tight rental supply.

Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, commented: “While the national vacancy rate has risen modestly over recent months, rental market conditions remain extremely tight by historical standards, particularly in cities such as Darwin, Brisbane and Perth.

The renewed rise in asking rents — now up 7.3% nationally over the past year — highlights the ongoing imbalance between rental supply and tenant demand across much of the country.

We are recording very limited rental availability in several capital cities, which is continuing to place upward pressure on rents despite some modest increases in listings. Without a sustained lift in housing supply and/or a steadying of demand, rental affordability pressures are likely to remain a major issue throughout 2026.

With regard to the impeding property tax changes, we have previously done rigorous modelling on a pullback of negative gearing scenario. While I have no doubt in my mind this change is going to put additional pressure on the rental market, the time for talking is now over. We will soon see actual data come through.”

The post National vacancy rate rises to 1.2%, national asking rents rise by 7.3% over the past 12 months appeared first on AdviserVoice.

The March result indicates that strong tenant demand continues to absorb available rental stock, with vacancy rates now approaching critically low levels across several capital cities.

SQM’s calculations of vacancies are based on online rental listings that have been advertised for three weeks or more compared to the total number of established rental properties. SQM considers this to be a superior methodology compared to using a potentially incomplete sample of agency surveys or merely relying on raw online listings advertised. Please go to our Methodology page for more information on how SQM’s vacancies are compiled.

Capital city highlights

Sydney: Vacancy rates declined to 1.1%, down from 1.3%, with 8,469 dwellings available. The market continues to tighten following strong leasing activity.

Melbourne: Vacancy rates eased to 1.4%, from 1.6%, with 7,549 vacancies recorded. Conditions remain relatively balanced compared to other capitals.

Brisbane: Vacancy rates held steady at 0.8%, with 2,662 dwellings available, maintaining one of the tightest rental markets in the country.

Perth: Vacancy rates fell further to 0.5%, from 0.6%, with 988 dwellings vacant. Perth remains among the most constrained rental markets nationally. Page 2 of 5

Adelaide: Vacancy rates declined to 0.7%, down from 0.8%, with 1,071 dwellings available. Supply remains limited.

Canberra: Vacancy rates held steady at 1.1%, with 700 dwellings available, indicating a stabilisation following earlier fluctuations.

Darwin: Vacancy rates dropped to 0.4%, from 0.6%, with just 93 dwellings vacant, marking one of the lowest vacancy levels nationally.

Hobart: Vacancy rates remained tight at 0.4%, with 121 dwellings available, continuing to reflect constrained rental supply.

Advertised rents analysis

National advertised rents continued to rise through early April, with combined rents increasing 0.4% over the past 30 days and 5.9% higher year-on-year, reflecting ongoing supply shortages across most capital cities.

The national combined rent average now stands at $692.45 per week, while the capital city average has increased to $791.44, supported by steady growth in both house and unit rents.

Nationally, house rents were broadly flat over the month (-0.3%) but remain 6.0% higher over the year, while unit rents rose 1.4% monthly and 5.6% annually, suggesting continued demand for medium-density accommodation.

Sydney: Combined rents rose 0.9% for the month and 7.4% year-on-year, with house rents averaging $1,154.05 per week.

Melbourne: Combined rents increased 0.6% monthly and 5.9% annually, supported by steady leasing activity.

Brisbane: Combined rents edged down 0.1% for the month but remain 6.8% higher over the year, indicating a pause following strong growth.

Perth: Combined rents rose 1.2% for the month and 6.9% annually, reflecting ongoing rental shortages.

Adelaide: Combined rents increased 1.5% monthly and 4.4% annually, supported by rising unit rents.

Canberra: Combined rents rose 2.5% for the month and 1.1% annually, indicating renewed momentum following earlier softness. Page 3 of 5

Darwin: Combined rents lifted 0.6% monthly and 10.2% annually, maintaining strong annual growth.

Hobart: Combined rents rose 2.9% for the month and are 12.5% higher year-on-year, reflecting ongoing tight rental conditions and limited supply.

Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, commented:  “The national vacancy rate dropping to 1.0% highlights just how tight Australia’s rental market has become. We are now seeing vacancy rates at critically low levels in several cities, particularly Perth, Darwin and Hobart.

“While some markets are showing brief pauses in rental growth, the overall trend remains upward due to the ongoing imbalance between supply and demand.

“Without a significant increase in new housing supply and/or a stabilisation of population growth rates, it is likely that rental pressures will remain elevated throughout 2026. These accelerated rates of rental increases will no doubt feed through to the CPI at some point this year.”

The post National vacancy rate falls to 1% – rental pressures persist as national asking rents rise 5.9% annually appeared first on AdviserVoice.

Australia’s national residential vacancy rate fell to 1.1% in February 2026, down from 1.2% in January and notably down from February 2025 (1.3%). The total number of residential vacancies declined to 34,572 dwellings, indicating continued tightening in rental market conditions across most capital cities.

The February result suggests that the seasonal tightening typically observed at the start of the year has continued and expanded, with strong tenant demand absorbing available rental listings down to levels below what was recorded this time last year .

Capital city highlights

Sydney:
Vacancy rates declined to 1.3%, down from 1.5% in January, with 9,491 dwellings available. The city continues to see strong tenant demand following the summer leasing period.

Melbourne:
Vacancy rates tightened to 1.6%, from 1.7%, with 8,294 vacancies recorded. Rental conditions remain relatively balanced compared with other major capitals.

Brisbane:
Vacancy rates tightened slightly to 0.8%, down from 0.9%, with 3,002 dwellings available, maintaining one of the tighter markets nationally.

Perth:
Vacancy rates held steady at 0.6%, with 1,130 dwellings available. The city continues to experience strong rental demand amid extremely limited new supply.

Adelaide: Vacancy rates remained unchanged at 0.8%, with 1,203 vacancies recorded. Supply constraints continue to keep rental conditions tight.

Canberra:
Vacancy rates declined to 1.1%, from 1.4%, with 688 dwellings available. The drop reflects stronger leasing activity in early 2026.

Darwin:
Vacancy rates fell to 0.6%, down from 0.8%, with 144 dwellings vacant, marking one of the lowest vacancy levels among the capital cities.

Hobart:
Vacancy rates increased slightly to 0.5%, from 0.4%, with 132 dwellings available. Despite the increase, Hobart remains one of the tightest rental markets nationally.

Advertised rents analysis

National advertised rents continued to rise through early March, with combined rents increasing 1.0% over the past 30 days and 6.6% higher year-on-year, reflecting ongoing supply shortages across most capital cities. This represents an acceleration in rents compared to the same period in 2025.

The national combined rent average now stands at $688.76 per week, while the capital city average has increased to $782.57, supported by gains in both house and unit rents.

Nationally, house rents rose 1.6% for the month and 7.8% over the year, while unit rents increased 0.1% monthly and 4.6% annually, indicating steady demand for mediumdensity accommodation.

Sydney:
Combined rents rose 0.5% for the month and 7.3% year-on-year, driven by strong house rent growth with houses averaging $1,145.45 per week.

Melbourne:
Combined rents increased 0.8% monthly and 5.0% annually, supported by continued leasing activity across both houses and units.

Brisbane:
Combined rents rose 0.6% for the month and 8.0% over the year, reflecting sustained population inflows.

Perth:
Combinedrents lifted 1.3% month-on-month and 5.5% year-on-year, highlighting the city’s ongoing rental supply shortages.

Adelaide:
Combined rents increased 0.3% for the month and 2.8% annually, with house rents averaging $690.13 per week.

Canberra:
Combined rents declined 1.1% over the month and 2.5% over the year, indicating some short-term easing in the ACT market.

Darwin:
Combined rents rose 1.9% for the month and 12.7% annually, representing one of the strongest rental growth rates nationally.

Hobart:
Combined rents increased 2.9% for the month and 12.2% year-on-year, reflecting ongoing supply constraints.

Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, commented: “The national vacancy rate falling to 1.1% shows the rental market remains very tight across most of the country. While some seasonal tightening is expected at this time of year, demand for rental housing is clearly continuing to outstrip available supply and so this move goes beyond normal seasonality.

“Vacancy rates below one per cent in cities such as Brisbane, Perth and Darwin highlight just how constrained rental supply remains in parts of Australia.

“With advertised rents continuing to accelerate higher, the data suggests tenants are still facing strong competition for available properties. Without a meaningful lift in new housing supply and an easing in demand, rental pressures are likely to remain a feature of the market through much of 2026, which may feed into the CPI.”

The post National vacancy rate falls to 1.1% appeared first on AdviserVoice.

• Energy price pass-through lifting household bills (e.g., petrol potentially to $2.57/L at $150 oil) and eroding affordability.
• Limited wage growth amid AI adoption curbing labor demands, contrasting with 1970s-style spirals.
• Potential government rebates providing some offset, but not enough to fully revive momentum. (Source: SQM Research, March 2026).

Forecasts are annual percentage changes in dwelling prices. Scenarios incorporate RBA outlooks, energy shocks, and economic sensitivities.

Revised Base Case Sees Weighted Capital City Growth of 0% to +3%, down from Prior +6% to +10% Sydney, 10 March 2026 – SQM Research has revised its 2026 dwelling price forecasts downward, reflecting heightened risks from persistent energy shocks, reaccelerating inflation, and potential further RBA rate hikes. Under the updated base case— assuming the cash rate rises to 4.35% by mid-2026 and annual CPI peaks at 4.4%-5.0% for the June quarter—weighted capital city prices are now expected to rise by just 0% to +3%, a significant downgrade from the November 2025 projection of +6% to +10%.

The revisions account for escalating Middle East tensions disrupting oil supplies (Brent crude above $92 per barrel, with upside to $150), which could amplify cost-of-living pressures, suppress buyer sentiment, and force tighter monetary policy. While Perth and Darwin retain strong outlooks (+10% to +13% and +12% to +16%, respectively) due to resource-driven demand, major eastern capitals like Sydney (-6% to -2%) and Melbourne (-4% to -1%) face steeper headwinds from higher borrowing costs and subdued migration.

Alternative scenarios highlight the sensitivity to inflation and rates: In an aggressive hiking path (cash rate to 4.5%+ by year end, CPI to 5.5%+ by September), growth weakens further to -3% to +1% weighted average. Conversely, if rates peak at 4.1% then ease later in the year, or hold steady at 3.85%, outcomes improve modestly to +2% to +7% or +3% to +7%.

Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, commented: “Our revised forecasts reflect a more cautious outlook as energy-driven inflation risks mount, potentially delaying rate relief and weighing on housing demand. While resource-heavy markets like Perth and Darwin hold firm, the downgrades in Sydney and Melbourne highlight vulnerability to higher rates. If shocks persist, we could see even softer outcomes, though fiscal measures like energy rebates might provide a buffer. Investors should monitor RBA signals closely amid these uncertainties.”

The post SQM research downgrades 2026 housing forecasts amid elevated inflation and rate risks appeared first on AdviserVoice.

• Total national property listings rose 4.6% month-on-month in February to 226,758 dwellings, reflecting a seasonal lift in market activity.
• Listings remain 9.1% lower year-on-year, highlighting ongoing supply constraints despite the rebound.
• New listings surged 48.6% nationally, marking the strongest monthly rise since spring.
• Old listings were broadly steady, rising just 0.7%, though remain 12.0% lower than a year ago.
• Distressed listings increased 6.2% month-on-month but remain 29.2% below February 2025 levels.
• National asking prices continued to trend higher, with combined dwelling prices up 1.9% over the month and 13.6% year-on-year.

Total listings

Australian real estate listing activity gained renewed momentum in February, with total national residential listings increasing 4.6% to 226,758 dwellings as vendor activity accelerated following January’s subdued conditions.

Sydney led the lift, with listings rising 15.6% to 33,437, now slightly above last year’s levels (+0.6% YoY).

Melbourne also recorded a strong increase (+14.1% MoM) to 41,036 and is now 2.7% higher year-on-year.

Brisbane saw a more modest gain (+3.7%), though total listings remain 21.0% below last year.

Perth declined 6.1% month-on-month and remains 25.7% lower year-on-year, underscoring tight stock conditions, while Adelaide (+5.1%) and Canberra (+11.6%) also recorded solid rebounds.

Darwin was broadly steady (-0.3%), while Hobart recorded a modest lift (+2.9%), though both markets remain materially lower than last year.

New listings

New listings surged sharply in February, rising 48.6% nationally to 76,077 dwellings, signalling a strong return of vendor activity following the seasonal hiatus over December and January.

Sydney recorded a 57.9% increase, while Melbourne rose an even stronger 73.9%, suggesting a clear seasonal ramp-up in supply.

Brisbane (+38.5%), Perth (+36.3%), Adelaide (+37.9%) and Canberra (+59.7%) also recorded significant gains. With Darwin (+16.5%) and Hobart (+32.2%) likewise posting solid monthly increases as activity broadened across the smaller capital markets.

Despite the monthly rebound, national new listings are broadly flat year-on-year (-0.1%), indicating that overall supply remains constrained compared to 2025 levels.

Old listings

Older stock remained broadly stable in February, increasing just 0.7% nationally to 63,624 dwellings, while remaining 12.0% lower year-on-year.

Sydney was steady (-0.1%), while Melbourne edged higher (+0.6%).

Brisbane (-8.0%), Perth (-8.8%) and Adelaide (-9.2%) all recorded meaningful declines in older listings, suggesting continued absorption of longer-dated stock.

Canberra recorded a 6.2% monthly rise, indicating some short-term accumulation.

Darwin (-8.7%) and Hobart (-3.4%) continued to see reductions in older listings, with Darwin sitting 67.3% below last year’s levels.

Distressed listings

Distressed listings rose 6.2% month-on-month in February to 3,502 properties, though remain significantly lower than a year ago (-29.2% YoY).

Western Australia recorded the sharpest monthly increase (+25.4%), followed by the ACT (+34.3%), where distressed listings are now 88.0% higher year-on-year.

Queensland (+2.8%) and New South Wales (+7.0%) also saw increases, while Victoria rose modestly (+1.4%).

Despite the monthly rise, distressed listings nationally remain well below 2025 levels, indicating continued household resilience.

Asking prices

SQM Research’s Weekly Asking Prices Index for the week ending 23 February 2026 showed continued upward momentum in dwelling prices nationally, signalling ongoing vendor confidence in the rising market.

Nationally, house asking prices rose 1.9% over the month, while unit prices increased 1.7%, with combined dwelling prices up 1.9% month-on-month and 13.6% year-on-year.

Sydney recorded marginal monthly softness in combined prices (-0.1%), though remains 9.8% higher year-on-year.

Melbourne saw mixed results across property types, with combined prices (-0.4%) down slightly, over the month but 7.3% higher annually.

Brisbane continued to outperform, with combined dwelling prices up 21.9% year-on-year, reflecting strong ongoing demand.

Perth recorded a solid monthly gain of 2.6% in combined prices and is 15.5% higher annually.

Adelaide posted continued strength (+0.2% monthly; +16.6% YoY), while Canberra and Hobart showed mixed short-term movements across property types, though annual growth remains positive.

Darwin continued to exhibit elevated volatility, with divergent results across houses and units.

Louis Christopher, Managing Director, SQM Research: “February’s figures confirm that the listing market is regaining momentum following the seasonal lull,” said Louis Christopher.

“The surge in new listings for February is fairly typical activity for this time of year. However, overall stock levels remain materially lower than a year ago, which continues to provide support to prices.”

“While distressed listings have ticked higher month-on-month, they remain well below 2025 levels. At this time, there are no indications of vendor stress across the housing market, but we will be watching closely given the recent interest rate rise and the current geopolitical turmoil that could create adverse economic waves in 2026.”

“If new listings continue to rise through March and April, we may see some easing in price growth. However, should supply remain tight relative to demand, upward pressure on prices—particularly in Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide—is likely to persist.”

The post National listings rebound strongly in February as new supply surges appeared first on AdviserVoice.

Australia’s national residential vacancy rate remained steady at 1.2% in October 2025, unchanged from September. The total number of residential vacancies rose slightly to 36,152 dwellings, up 106 from the previous month, suggesting that while rental market conditions remain tight, some cities are showing early signs of easing pressures.

SQM’s calculations of vacancies are based on online rental listings that have been advertised for three weeks or more compared to the total number of established rental properties. SQM considers this to be a superior methodology compared to using a potentially incomplete sample of agency surveys or merely relying on raw online listings advertised. Please go to our Methodology page for more information on how SQM’s vacancies are compiled.

Capital city highlights

Sydney: Vacancy conditions remained steady at 1.3%, with 9,553 vacancies recorded. Tenant demand continues to be strong amid limited new rental supply, though rent growth moderated slightly over the month.

Melbourne: Vacancy rates held firm at 1.8%, with 9,713 vacancies. The market remains broadly balanced, reflecting a steady inflow of new listings alongside consistent tenant activity.

Brisbane: The vacancy rate remained tight at 1.0%, with 3,391 vacancies. While conditions are still very constrained, recent data suggests a gradual easing in rental price growth.

Perth: Perth’s market continues to rank among the tightest nationally, with the vacancy rate unchanged at 0.7%, representing 1,304 dwellings. Ongoing supply shortages are keeping rental competition elevated.

Adelaide: Vacancy levels remained exceptionally low at 0.8%, with 1,215 vacancies. Limited new stock continues to maintain upward pressure on rents.

Canberra: Vacancies fell to 1.4%, down from 1.6% the previous month, with 860 dwellings available. The local market remains seasonally active, ahead of the end-of-year turnover.

Darwin: A slight increase in rental listings saw the vacancy rate lift to 0.7%, representing 181 properties. Despite the rise, Darwin remains one of the tightest rental markets in the country.

Hobart: Hobart’s vacancy rate held at a record-low 0.4%, confirming its position as the tightest capital city market, with extremely limited available rental stock.

Advertised rents analysis

National advertised rents softened through early November, with combined rents up 0.2% over the past 30 days but remaining 4.6% higher year-on-year, indicating that while rental growth has slowed, overall market conditions remain tight amid ongoing supply shortages.

The national combined rent average now stands at $664.77 per week, while the capital city average sits at $755.65 per week, reflecting modest easing in house rents after several months of steady increases.

Nationally, house rents rose 1.9% for the month and 6.1% over the year, while unit rents declined 0.9% monthly but are still up 4.6% annually, suggesting stabilisation in demand for medium- and high-density dwellings.

Sydney: Combined rents rose 1.4% for the month but remain 5.7% higher year-on-year, with house rents averaging $1,118.63 per week.

Melbourne: Combined rents declined 0.9% over the month yet are 3.4% higher over the year, supported by ongoing leasing activity in the inner suburbs.

Brisbane: Combined rents fell 0.2% for the month and 6.7% annually, underpinned by continued population inflows and strong demand for family homes.

Perth: Combined rents dropped by 0.2% month-on-month, though remain 5.1% higher year-on-year, reflecting the city’s ongoing undersupply despite short-term volatility.

Adelaide: Combined rents rose 0.8% in October and are 3.1% higher over the year, with house rents averaging $680.65 per week.

Canberra: Combined rents increased 2% for the month and 2.8% over the year, driven by a rebound in house leasing activity ahead of the summer turnover period.

Darwin: Combined rents lifted 0.3% for the month and 8.1% year-on-year, continuing its trend as one of the strongest annual performers.

Hobart: Combined rents slipped 0.3% monthly but remain up 9.1% annually, consistent with ongoing stock shortages and limited new rental listings.  Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, commented: “The national vacancy rate holding at 1.2% suggests the rental market remains very tight, with little sign of meaningful supply increases.

“While some capitals are showing temporary easing in rent growth, underlying conditions remain undersupplied, particularly in cities such as Perth, Adelaide, and Hobart.

“Brisbane continues to attract strong demand from interstate migration, while Melbourne and Canberra appear to be stabilising following recent surges in new rental listings. “

Overall, we expect rental conditions to remain tight through the summer months, with only a modest increase in vacancies likely in early 2026.”

The post National vacancy rate holds steady at 1.2% as rents ease in key capitals appeared first on AdviserVoice.

• National residential listings surged 10.9% month-on-month in October, reaching 252,557, but remain 0.3% lower year-on-year.
• Sydney and Melbourne led the monthly lift, up 13.2% and 15.4% respectively, reflecting robust spring activity.
• New listings (<30 days) rose 18.2% nationally, driven by Melbourne (+23.7%) and Adelaide (+33.5%).
• Old listings (180 + days) edged up 1.0% month-on-month.
• Distressed listings held steady nationally but are down 29.5% year-on-year, with large declines in WA (-50.1%) and NSW (-24.9%).
• Asking prices continued to rise, led by Brisbane (+12.0%) and Perth (+10.2%) year-onyear growth in house prices.

Total listings

Australia’s housing market recorded a sharp lift in total listings through October 2025, signalling sellers’ renewed confidence as the spring selling season hit full stride. National listings rose to 252,557 dwellings, up 10.9% from September, only marginally below levels seen a year earlier.

Sydney listings rose 13.2% to 37,078, supported by strong new supply and steady buyer demand.

Melbourne surged 15.4% to 43,708, pushing above last year’s level by 2.3%—a sign of returning vendor confidence.

Adelaide and Canberra continued to climb, up 15.7% and 16.1% respectively, while Perth rose 8.4%.

Darwin’s listings inched up 3.5%, but remain sharply lower (-31.5% YoY), underscoring its long-term contraction in available stock.

New listings

Fresh stock under 30 days soared 18.2% month-on-month to 87,986 listings, extending spring’s momentum. Melbourne and Sydney led the charge, up 23.7% and 17.2%, respectively. Adelaide posted a remarkable 33.5% monthly increase, while Canberra and Darwin climbed 20.5% and 44.4%, indicating broad-based vendor engagement.

Year-on-year, national new listings were 6.7% higher, reversing months of subdued inflows. Sydney’s annual lift of 15.3% underscores rising confidence, while Melbourne (+14.7%) and Canberra (+23.7%) also recorded strong gains. Only Brisbane (-0.5%) and Perth (-2.6%) saw slight annual dips, reflecting localised market tightness.

This surge in fresh listings highlights both seasonal momentum and growing willingness among sellers to test buyer appetite as clearance rates stabilise and price expectations recalibrate.

Old listings

Aged stock (180 + days) increased modestly, rising 1.0% nationally month-on-month and 3.9% year-on-year, to 72,364 properties. The small uptick suggests most new listings are being absorbed efficiently.

Sydney’s old listings were steady (+0.2%), while Melbourne saw a marginal lift (+0.8%), reflecting relatively balanced conditions. Adelaide’s decline of 17.8% indicates brisk turnover and pricing alignment, and Canberra’s 5.7% fall also signals healthy buyer engagement.

Darwin’s aged stock plunged 51.7% year-on-year, underscoring the city’s limited supply and volatility.

Distressed listings

Distressed property numbers remained unchanged nationally in October but are down nearly 30% from a year earlier, pointing to improved household balance sheets and reduced mortgage stress despite higher interest rates.

Queensland (-32.8%), Western Australia (-50.1%), and New South Wales (-24.9%) led annual declines, while the ACT bucked the trend with a 36.7% rise YoY, following a 24.2% monthly increase—a small but notable shift reflecting isolated financial pressure pockets.

South Australia also recorded an uptick (+25.8% monthly), though from a low base.

Asking prices

SQM Research’s Weekly Asking Prices Index for the week ending 28 October 2025 revealed continued upward momentum.

Nationally, asking prices rose 1.9% for houses and 1.4% for units over the month, with combined dwellings up 1.6% month-on-month and 9.7% year-on-year. Sydney house asking prices eased marginally (-0.04%) to $2.1 million yet remain 8.4% higher YoY.

Melbourne (+0.3% monthly, +4.3% YoY) and Brisbane (+1.7% monthly, +12.0% YoY) saw steady appreciation, while Perth recorded another strong month (+2.3% monthly, +10.2% YoY).

Adelaide and Canberra also posted healthy annual gains above 8%. Darwin remains the most volatile market, with house asking prices up 14.1% YoY.

Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research said: “The October surge in listings is a clear sign of renewed vendor activity heading into the final quarter of the year,” said Louis Christopher.

“We’ve seen a 10.9% national lift—an unusually strong result even for spring—suggesting sellers are more confident in finding buyers, particularly in Sydney, Melbourne, and Adelaide.”

“While total stock is still fractionally below last year’s level, the balance between new and old listings shows a healthier, more dynamic market. Distressed listings remain low nationwide, reinforcing that most homeowners are coping with current financial conditions.”

“We do, however, continue to watch Canberra closely. The lift in older and distressed listings there points to some market fatigue, possibly due to pricing mismatches. Overall, though, the market is functioning well—buyers are selective, and realistically priced homes are selling.”

The post National listings lift sharply in October as Spring selling heats up appeared first on AdviserVoice.

Stephen van Eyk is a highly respected figure in the Australian financial services industry, best known as the co-founder of van Eyk Research, which was the leading fund ratings house throughout the 1990s and 2000s. Under his leadership, the firm earned acclaim for its bold, unbiased calls and innovative approach to fund evaluation. In 2013, he received the Money Management/Count Financial Lifetime Achievement Award in recognition of his contributions to the sector.

“Stephen’s appointment is a significant step in SQM Research’s evolution,” said Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research. “His track record of fearless, independent analysis aligns perfectly with our mission to provide objective insights that empower advisers and platforms to make informed decisions.”

As an independent voting member on both committees, van Eyk will bring fresh perspectives to SQM’s ratings methodology and research governance practices. His involvement will assist in delivering robust oversight and alignment with industry best standards. He joins his former business partner James Purvis, and Anthony Garvey (previously Research Manager at ANZ Private), as three independent members on SQM’s six-person Ratings Committee.

SQM Research remains committed to its core values of objectiveness, accuracy, and client focus, delivering high-quality research to support the financial services sector.

The post Stephen van Eyk to strengthen governance and ratings expertise appeared first on AdviserVoice.

Australia’s national residential vacancy rate remained unchanged at 1.2% in August 2025, with 37,742 vacancies recorded—just 121 fewer than July. The market continues to show signs of stabilisation, with modest shifts across capital cities.

Capital city highlights

Sydney: Tenant demand continues to tighten the market, pushing the vacancy rate down to 1.4% (from 1.5%), with vacancies falling to 10,211—the lowest in over a year.

Melbourne: Tight to stable vacancy levels persist as leasing activity slows, with the rate holding at 1.8% and vacancies rising to 9,620.

Brisbane: A modest rise in vacancies to 3,423 nudged the rate up to 1.0%, though the city remains one of the tighter rental markets nationally.

Perth: Tightness continues, with the vacancy rate unchanged at 0.7% and vacancies dipping slightly to 1,389.

Adelaide: Very low vacancy conditions prevail, with the vacancy rate steady at 0.8% and vacancies easing to 1,257. Canberra: A slight seasonal lift saw the vacancy rate rise to 1.6% (from 1.5%), with vacancies increasing to 978.

Darwin: The market remains super tight, with the vacancy rate holding at 0.5% and vacancies rising marginally to 134.

Hobart: Strong rental demand pushed the vacancy rate down to 0.5% (from 0.6%), with vacancies declining to 144.

Advertised rents analysis

Rental trends across the capitals were mixed in August, with units generally outperforming houses in monthly growth. Nationally, combined rents rose 0.4% monthon-month and 4.6% year-on-year, reflecting ongoing affordability pressures and shifting tenant preferences.

For the week ending 4 September 2025, the national combined rent average reached $653.54 —up 0.4% over the rolling month and down 2.2% year-on-year. The capital city average sits at $747.70, reflecting a 2.85% annual decrease.

Sydney: Unit demand continues to drive growth, with combined rents rising 0.5% for the month and 4.2% year-on-year.

Melbourne: Rent levels remained flat (0.0% monthly change), with annual growth at a modest 2.9%, mirroring the city’s elevated vacancy rate.

Brisbane: Strong rental momentum persists, with combined rents up 0.6% for the month and 7.3% year-on-year.

Perth: A notable monthly decline of 1.0% in combined rents contrasts with solid annual growth of 5.6%, suggesting short-term easing.

Adelaide: Steady conditions saw combined rents rise 0.4% for the month and 2.4% year-on-year.

Canberra: Rents softened, with a 0.9% monthly decline and 1.2% annual growth, reflecting seasonal turnover and affordability constraints.

Darwin: Despite a slight monthly dip (-0.1%), annual growth remains strong at 8.9%, led by unit rents surging 16.7%.

Hobart: The standout performer, Hobart recorded a 0.9% monthly rise and a robust 10.6% annual increase in combined rents.

Commentary

Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, commented: “The national vacancy rate has held firm at 1.2% for August, suggesting ongoing shortages in rental supply across most capital cities. Sydney continues to tighten, now at 1.4%, which is indicative of ongoing tenant demand and limited new stock.

“Hobart and Darwin stand out with double-digit annual rent growth, driven largely by unit demand. Nationally, rents continue to edge higher, particularly for units, which are now outperforming houses in most capitals.

“Overall, the data points to a market that remains tight, albeit the days of 20%+ rental growth are well and truly behind us. Investors should note the resilience in Brisbane and Hobart, while policymakers may need to monitor affordability pressures in Sydney and Darwin.”

The post National vacancy rates hold steady at 1.2% in August appeared first on AdviserVoice.