The wisdom of earnings: Why EAFE’s past holds lessons for its future

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Knowledge is a process of piling up facts; wisdom is the ability to simplify those facts. Take the old adage about the tomato: Knowledge is knowing it’s a fruit; wisdom

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Shifting liquidity dynamics a potential US equity headwind

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In brief Shrinking liquidity exacerbates volatility and may help identify which equities are the most vulnerable if liquidity continues to tighten. Since the global financial crisis, liquidity largely flowed into

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To find the bust, you need to find the boom

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The capital cycle drives booms and busts Capitalistic economies allocate resources in accordance with utility. The private sector pulls capital from industries with falling societal value and return on capital

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Investors are seeking the right answers to the wrong questions

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Key points: Are investors asking the right questions? Rate cuts are not a panacea for broken businesses. What really matters are fundamentals. Are these the right questions? Following the inflation

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A different paradigm

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It’s returns (on capital) that matter The market value of equities, whether public or private, represents a range of assumptions about future returns on capital.  When profit forecasts change, market

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Bad policy and unintended consequences

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A great deal has been written in recent years about the uniqueness of Modern Monetary Theory and quantitative easing. The reality is that they are neither unique nor modern. They

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A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush

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Risk assets have gotten off to a historically poor start in 2022, a year in which seemingly diversified portfolios have been generating undiversified returns. Stocks and government bonds are down

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