Peak inflation: a plateau or a turning point? That is the question for the RBA

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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will almost certainly lift the policy rate by 25 basis points (bp) to 3.60 per cent when it meets on 7 March. The RBA... Read more continue reading
06 Mar 2023

Nine key lessons for today from the 1970s, 80s and 90s

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Key points The experience of the high inflation 1970s and its aftermath hold key lessons for today. In particular, that once high inflation becomes entrenched in expectations that it will... Read more continue reading
28 Feb 2023

The Fed remains primarily focussed on inflation containment – 2023 will be a year of slow growth

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US Federal Reserve (the Fed) FOMC minutes Last night’s release of the US Federal Reserve’s (the Fed’s) ‎Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes indicate that the Fed remains primarily... Read more continue reading
24 Feb 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 17 February ,2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets were mixed over the last week as concerns about rate hikes continue to impact with European shares up, US shares little changed... Read more continue reading
20 Feb 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 10 February, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets fell over the last week on hawkish comments from the Fed, higher bond yields and recession concerns.  Australian shares also fell too... Read more continue reading
13 Feb 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 3 February, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets rose again over the last week continuing their rally seen so far this year, helped by confirmation that central banks led by... Read more continue reading
06 Feb 2023

Seven reasons why Australian shares are likely to outperform global shares over the medium term

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Key points The underperformance of Australian versus global shares since 2009 reflects a combination of tighter monetary policy, the strong $A into 2011, the slump in commodity prices, property crash... Read more continue reading
31 Jan 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 27 January, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global shares rose over the last week continuing their rally so far this year on signs global inflation has peaked and hopes central banks will... Read more continue reading
30 Jan 2023

Four themes driving 2023 – inflation, bond, yields, China and energy transition  

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There are four themes which I think investors can get their teeth into this year. The first is disinflation which will reduce the need for additional increases in interest rates... Read more continue reading
25 Jan 2023

Housing affordability: Another headwind of the U.S. economy

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U.S. housing affordability worsened considerably in 2022, driven by expensive home prices and soaring mortgage rates. With the Federal Reserve remaining focused on inflation, a quick recovery from here is... Read more continue reading
24 Jan 2023