CPD: China’s next phase – what persistent supply-side growth means for global markets

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China’s economic trajectory is shifting, but not in the way many had once expected. Consumption-led rebalancing has not materialised. Instead, economic policy continues to emphasise industrial modernisation, aligned with a

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Global dond diversification: Higher yields and new opportunities for aAlpha

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The reset in global bond yields in the early 2020s established a foundation for the return fixed income investors can earn just from being exposed to the broader market. Starting

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CPD: Rupture and resilience

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The global economy is no longer gliding along a familiar path of ongoing globalization and increasing integration. In the words of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, the world is undergoing

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Fed’s holding pattern continues amid competing risks

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Markets and observers weren’t surprised when the Federal Reserve held its policy rate steady at the April meeting. More notable, in our view, were the three dissents by voting participants

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U.S. employment volatility masks structural shift

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U.S. headline employment rebounded strongly in March, posting the largest monthly gain since late 2024. The jobs rebound, which was broad-based across industries, was a welcome sign after February’s data

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CPD: Layered uncertainty – conflict, credit stress, and AI

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Resilient global headline growth has continued masking widening divergence across countries, industries, and households, as AI-fueled investment and wealth have offset tariff-related pressures. What has changed is the addition of

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Private credit’s other lanes still offer value

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Concerns about private credit have intensified in recent months. Investors are grappling with questions about weakening credit quality, stale valuations, looser underwriting, redemption risk in certain types of funds, and

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CPD: Compounding opportunity – cyclical outlook

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The Trump administration’s sweeping tax, trade, and immigration policy overhauls – including quadrupling the effective U.S. tariff rate – were widely expected to stifle global growth, trade and investment. In

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PIMCO expands active ETF suite in Australia with the launch of EARN

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PIMCO, a global leader in active fixed income management, has announced the launch of the PIMCO Short Term Active Yield Active ETF (EARN), its fifth active exchange-traded fund (ETF) in

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CPD: Tariffs, technology, and transition

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Economic outlook: A clash of forces tests conventional frameworks The Trump administration aims to reshape the U.S.’s global role while improving the country’s trade balance. In previous Cyclical Outlooks, we argued

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