All Articles tagged with 'Shane Oliver'

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Poor Australian productivity – why all the fuss? And what to do about it?

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points The last decade has seen productivity stagnate in Australia. This has curtailed growth in living standards and real wages. Policies to boost productivity include: deregulation; more housing supply;

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30 Jul 2025

Here we go again! The threat from the Israel/Iran war

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points So far, the Israel/Iran war is limited, and various constraints suggest it may stay that way with Iran reportedly wanting to return to talks. It’s still early days

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18 Jun 2025

The risk of a US public debt crisis – and implications for shares

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points US tax cuts point to ongoing budget deficits around 7% of GDP, a rising trend in already very high public debt and a further rise in already record

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10 Jun 2025

Trump’s policies and the equity risk premium – the good, the bad & the ugly

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points Helped by President Trump’s backdown on tariffs, shares have rebounded to within 3-4% of their record highs. The good news is that the last month highlights that Trump

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16 May 2025

Seven reasons Australia is likely to avoid recession from Trump’s shock

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points President Trump’s trade war poses a threat to Australian economic growth particularly via the indirect impact of weaker global activity driving less demand for our exports and lower

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15 Apr 2025

Share market falls – seven key things for investors to bear in mind

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points Share markets have fallen sharply in recent weeks as uncertainty around US President Trump’s policies have led to renewed concerns about the risk of recession at a time

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13 Mar 2025

Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points So far shares have been relatively resilient but uncertainties are mounting particularly around Trump’s policies. We remain upbeat on a 12-month view but expect a rougher more constrained

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26 Feb 2025

More Trump tariffs (and deals) – implications for investors and Australia

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points US President Trump has announced tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China and is threatening more tariffs. The one-month delay to tariffs with Canada & Mexico is a sign

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05 Feb 2025

What’s driven the fall in the $A? Does it threaten inflation and RBA easing?

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points The $A has been hit since September by the return of Trump, a hawkish pivot by the Fed versus the RBA and concerns about the outlook for iron

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22 Jan 2025

Australia women paying the price for economic weakness

From Financy Women’s Index

Australia’s path to gender financial equality is experiencing significant challenges, as highlighted by the latest Financy Women’s Index (FWX). Progress to gender financial equality in Australia has taken another backwards

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04 Dec 2024

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