Trump’s policies and the equity risk premium – the good, the bad & the ugly

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Key points Helped by President Trump’s backdown on tariffs, shares have rebounded to within 3-4% of their record highs. The good news is that the last month highlights that Trump

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Seven reasons Australia is likely to avoid recession from Trump’s shock

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Key points President Trump’s trade war poses a threat to Australian economic growth particularly via the indirect impact of weaker global activity driving less demand for our exports and lower

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Share market falls – seven key things for investors to bear in mind

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Key points Share markets have fallen sharply in recent weeks as uncertainty around US President Trump’s policies have led to renewed concerns about the risk of recession at a time

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Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on

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Key points So far shares have been relatively resilient but uncertainties are mounting particularly around Trump’s policies. We remain upbeat on a 12-month view but expect a rougher more constrained

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More Trump tariffs (and deals) – implications for investors and Australia

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Key points US President Trump has announced tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China and is threatening more tariffs. The one-month delay to tariffs with Canada & Mexico is a sign

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What’s driven the fall in the $A? Does it threaten inflation and RBA easing?  

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Key points The $A has been hit since September by the return of Trump, a hawkish pivot by the Fed versus the RBA and concerns about the outlook for iron

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Australia women paying the price for economic weakness

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Australia’s path to gender financial equality is experiencing significant challenges, as highlighted by the latest Financy Women’s Index (FWX). Progress to gender financial equality in Australia has taken another backwards

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Harris versus Trump – implications for investors and Australia

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Key points The US election has significant potential to impact markets. A Harris victory would mean more of the same, but a Trump victory could lead to uncertainty particularly around

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Financial stress among working Australians at ‘decade highs’

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Key insights 1 in 3 Australians feel financially secure, down from half during the pandemic 1 in 3 Australians have cancelled streaming subscriptions and gym memberships, with more Australians turning

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Shares around record highs as inflation slides, central banks cut rates and China stimulates – but what about the Israel/Iran conflict & other risks?

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Key points Recession risks, the escalating Israel conflict, the US election along with still stretched valuations mean a high risk of another share market correction and continued volatility. The expansion

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