Weekly economic and market update – week ending 3 November, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Most global share markets rebounded over the last week from oversold levels on the back of increasing optimism that the Fed has finished raising rates,

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Weekly economic and market update – week ending 27 October, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments US shares fell again over the last week on the back of ongoing worries about high bond yields, the war in Israel and some mixed

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Five constraints on medium term investment returns

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Key points Five megatrends suggest higher medium-term inflation pressures & lower economic growth than pre-pandemic. These are: a move away from economic rationalist policies; the reversal of globalisation; rising geopolitical

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Weekly economic and market update – week ending 20 October, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets fell over the last week on worries about an escalation of the war in Israel that would disrupt oil supplies and as

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Weekly economic and market update – week ending 13 October 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets were mixed over the last week. US shares rose as Fed officials sounded less hawkish before higher than expected inflation and nervousness

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1987 vs now – rising bond yields (and the war in Israel) and the risks for shares

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Key points The rise in bond yields has left shares offering a low risk premium over bonds leaving them at risk of more softness. The conflict in Israel has added

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Weekly economic and market update – week ending 6 October, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets fell again over the last week as bond yields rose even further continuing to put pressure on share market valuations. Most Fed

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Weekly economic and market update – week ending 29 September, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets fell again over the last week as bond yields rose further (with Fed Chair Powell offering no objection to rising bond yields

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For what it’s worth: why what you pay for an investment is a key driver of its return…and how do valuations look now?

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Key points Starting point valuations – like yields and price to earnings ratios – are key drivers of medium-term investment returns. For growth assets it’s often more complicated, with the

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Weekly economic and market update – week ending 22 September, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets mostly fell over the last week as “higher for longer” interest rate signals from the Fed and some other central banks pushed

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