Weekly economic and market update – week ending 1 September, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets rose further over the last week helped by US data showing a softening jobs market and continuing moderation in underlying inflation in

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04 Sep 2023

China’s slowdown & structural challenges & the implications for Australia

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Key points China’s economy is slowing not helped by a property collapse and longer-term structural constraints around poor demographics and threats to productivity growth. China needs to save less and

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24 Aug 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 18 August, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global share markets fell over the last week on the back of concerns about more central bank rate hikes, ongoing upwards pressure on bond yields

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21 Aug 2023

Why the need to lift productivity – and why it might be hard

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Key points The last 20 years have seen a slump in productivity growth in Australia from over 2% pa to less than 1% pa. This has curtailed growth in living

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16 Aug 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 11 August, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global shares were mixed over the last week. US shares fell on the back of higher energy prices and ongoing upwards pressure on bond yields

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14 Aug 2023

Recession versus “goldilocks” – five reasons why we could still avoid recession

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Key points Rapid monetary tightening points to a high risk of recession and, given lags in the way it impacts the economy, just because it hasn’t happened yet does not

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10 Aug 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 28 July, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global shares were mixed over the last week being buoyed by increasing confidence that central bank interest rates are at or close to the top

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31 Jul 2023

The confusing economic picture – why you need to know the difference between leading and lagging economic indicators

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Key points For nearly 30 years Australia had benign economic cycles so the current environment may be a bit of a shock for many. Still low unemployment and still high

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26 Jul 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 21 July, 2023

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Investment markets and key developments Global shares were mixed over the last week with US and Japanese shares up, but European and Chinese shares down as investors digested the strong

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24 Jul 2023

Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on – where are they now?

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Key points Shares are at risk of a short term pull back and volatility will likely remain high on central bank and recession risks. However, we remain reasonably upbeat on

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19 Jul 2023