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Everything from Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 12 June, 2026

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Investment markets and key developments The past week saw another round of gyrations regarding whether there will be a US/Iran deal to end the war or not driving volatility in

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15 Jun 2026

Australian home prices getting hit by rate hikes and tax hikes – is the super cycle boom from the mid-1990s over at last?

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points National average home prices were flat in May according to Cotality, the weakest since January last year. Prices fell further in Sydney and Melbourne, and the boom time

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02 Jun 2026

Weekly economic and market update – Week ending 29 May, 2026

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Investment markets and key developments The past week has been dominated by developments around a US/Iran peace deal – but despite some gyrations its looking like a deal is on

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01 Jun 2026

Three reasons why it pays to be an optimist as an investor

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points The combination of the natural human tendency to focus on bad news, expectations rising beyond the ability of the economy to deliver, the increased availability of information &

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27 May 2026

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 22 May, 2026

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Investment markets and key developments Global share markets mostly rose over the last week with ongoing hopes for a deal to unblock the Strait of Hormuz and strong earnings data.

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25 May 2026

Investment outlook Q&A – oil, bond yields, the Budget and the RBA

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points The oil supply shock remains a significant threat to economic growth and shares – particularly with the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed and oil reserves running down. It’s

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20 May 2026

The 2026-27 Budget – responsibility, productivity and fairness – or is it?

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points The key changes are a wind back in negative gearing, the taxation of real capital gains, numerous moves to reduce regulation, and modest net budget cuts over five

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13 May 2026

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 8 May, 2026

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Investment markets and key developments Global share markets rose strongly over the last week led by US shares on the back of renewed hopes for a peace deal with Iran

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11 May 2026

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 24th April, 2026

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Investment markets and key developments It was a messy ride for global share markets over the last week as there was little progress towards fresh US/Iran talks and the Strait

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28 Apr 2026

“Never waste a crisis” – The top five things needed in the coming Budget

From Shane Oliver - AMP chief economist

Key points The upcoming Budget is an ideal opportunity to reframe government policy to put the economy onto a stronger path. The latest global crisis adds to the case for

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22 Apr 2026

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CPD: Growth holds, risks widen
Economic outlook: Structural forces, cyclical implications Longer-term secular forces are driving the six- to 12-month cyclical outlook. Our June 2026 Secular Outlook, “Rupture and Resilience[1],” explored the fraying of traditional [...]
CPD: Intergenerational wealth – When the responsibility transfers before the money
Picture this: an Enduring Power of Attorney (EPOA) has sat in a filing cabinet for years. Then a sudden health event means an adult daughter is called on to act [...]
CPD: Why market structure rewards active management in local currency EMD
Key takeaways A large, diverse and fast-growing opportunity set: local currency EMD spans economies at very different points in the cycle, offering income, growth and genuine diversification. Structure, not just [...]
CPD: A practical system for building client confidence – Value of Advice (Part 1)
Introduction As the advice profession continues to evolve, so too do client expectations and perceptions of the value of advice. Perhaps nothing sums up this shift as perfectly as this [...]
CPD: When a little knowledge is dangerous – countering the financial ‘guidance’ your clients are getting from AI
Move over, Google The expression “a little knowledge is a dangerous thing” seems particularly appropriate to financial decisions, where the amounts at stake and the inherent complexity make the risk [...]