US economy is decelerating toward potential GDP near 2%, but not going into recession

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David Lafferty, Chief Market Strategist at Natixis Investment Managers examines the most recent macro data to see if it supports a continued rally in stocks and credit. The post-Christmas global rally in both equities and corporate credit has everyone wondering, “Is global growth stronger than we expected?” Obviously the Fed’s downshift both on rates (now […]

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Handicapping the risks for 2019

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What could go wrong for investors this year? In late November we produced our 2019 Outlook for the global economy and capital markets. In December, we highlighted five trends that would likely reverse in the coming year (growth, rates, monetary policy, the US dollar, and rising volatility). This month we itemise seven risks we see on the […]

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Lehman: 10 Years After

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Chief Market Strategist, Dave Lafferty discusses what lessons Investors might have learnt 10 Years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers. It’s often said that you should never let a good crisis go to waste. As we approach the 10 year anniversary of the seminal event of the Global Financial Crisis – the collapse of Lehman […]

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Recession watch – is a recession “imminent”?

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Dave Lafferty, Chief Market Strategist at Natixis Investment Managers examines why a “recession is imminent”… A Recession is Coming Economic forecasting is a tough business, not to mention incredibly imprecise. However, we can say with nearly 100% certainty that a US (and/or global) recession is coming – at some point. For investors, of course, the […]

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US-China trade war creating market uncertainty

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Concerns about US President Donald Trump’s foreign policy initiatives, particularly over trade, took a back seat in May – but they didn’t go away. Trump’s stance has since become ever more combative, sparking a US-China trade war that is creating market uncertainty and is starting to hurt business. Dave Lafferty, Natixis IM provides some insights […]

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Brexit was so 2016

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Two years after the Brexit referendum, stunningly little progress has been made in executing the withdrawal. That lack of progress has in turn led to a lack of clarity on the part of UK firms. While measures of business sentiment initially took a hit in the wake of the vote, real economic activity remained solid […]

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