2014/15 Budget Preview

From

The Commission of Audit set out the fiscal parameters. The Government’s initial response will come on Budget night. The Budget will be “tough” – but measures may be back‑end loaded.

continue reading

Retail Trade – February 2014

From

Retail trade rose by 0.2% in February following a spike of 1.2% in January. Annual growth slowed to a still respectable 4.9%. The February result was driven by a lift

continue reading

Business Investment Outlook

From

Business investment will decline noticeably over the next few years as the mining capex downturn accelerates. The largest impact will be in the engineering construction space.  Non‑mining engineering construction growth

continue reading

The Week Ahead, 17 February, 2014

From

Events in the Crimea are expected to keep driving volatility across financial markets in the coming week The mid‑week US FOMC meeting, chaired by Janet Yellen, is likely to announce

continue reading

CBA Economics: RBA’s neutral policy bias reiterated in Board minutes

From

The February Board minutes reiterated the RBA’s neutral policy bias that was evident in the February Statement on Monetary Policy. The QIV Wage Price Index data (released Wednesday 19 February)

continue reading

CBA Economics: Consumer sentiment falls to its lowest level since May last year

From

Consumer Sentiment – February 2014 Consumer sentiment fell by 3% in February to its lowest level since May last year. Sentiment declined for a third month in a row as

continue reading

Home loans lift but first home buyer share at record lows

From

Weekly petrol prices; Housing finance; Job advertisements Home loans lift: The number of new owner-occupier housing loans rose by 1.1 per cent in November, the tenth increase in the past 11

continue reading

Weekly Economic Perspective: week beginning 13 January

From

The Week Ahead The transition from mining to non‑mining led growth is on track.  Next week’s data on housing lending, consumer sentiment, construction, employment and dwelling starts will provide further

continue reading

Population rose by 407k over the past year to 23.13 million

From

Population – June Quarter 2013 Australia’s population rose by 95.7k in QII to 23.13 million.  Over the past year it rose by 407k or 1.8% which is high by global

continue reading

Exports to China hit a record high as trade deficit widens in October

From

International Trade – October 2013 The October trade balance was a deficit of $529m – an increase of $258m on the deficit in September. Exports declined by a very small

continue reading