Globalisation gets harder: A new era of constraint, competition and volatility

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The era of “easy globalisation” is over. Investors and policymakers now face a more fragmented, volatile and politically charged global system, in which long-standing assumptions about growth, inflation and market

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Macroscope: Is the Iran crisis an early 2020 moment for markets?

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War in the Middle East and the disruption of energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz has potentially introduced a stagflationary shock at a time when markets were positioned for

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Government bonds: the end of the shock absorber

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Sticky inflation, rising fiscal strains and weak growth are eroding the role of bonds as a portfolio ballast, forcing investors to rethink defensive diversification, according to Sahil Mahtani, Head of

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The shrinking upside in the dollar story

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Ninety One has published the latest in its research series examining the strategic implications of shifting macro dynamics for the US dollar and global portfolio construction.  The Shrinking Upside in the

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Macroscope: Opportunity knocks when investors lose faith

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An investor recently recalled asking an older colleague in late 2000 when the right time would be to buy the NASDAQ. His answer, which turned out to be broadly correct:

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Macroscope: The debt ceiling – an inevitable increase, an unavoidable reckoning

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Ninety One Strategist Sahil Mahtani and Analyst Daniel Morgan say that it is easy to imagine worse scenarios. At some point in the 2010s, it became unfashionable to worry about

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