When to expect a recession?

From

ClearBridge Investments, a global equity manager, believes a recession is on the horizon in the US despite improving economic sentiment now leaning the consensus view toward a soft landing. In... Read more continue reading
09 Aug 2023

The RBA “skip” could yet be a prelude to a mortgage debtor “trip” and the US Fitch debt downgrade

From

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to “skip” a policy rate increase at Tuesday’s meeting was certainly defensible. The June quarter consumer price index (CPI) suggested that inflation as... Read more continue reading
04 Aug 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 28 July, 2023

From

Investment markets and key developments Global shares were mixed over the last week being buoyed by increasing confidence that central bank interest rates are at or close to the top... Read more continue reading
31 Jul 2023

The confusing economic picture – why you need to know the difference between leading and lagging economic indicators

From

Key points For nearly 30 years Australia had benign economic cycles so the current environment may be a bit of a shock for many. Still low unemployment and still high... Read more continue reading
26 Jul 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 21 July, 2023

From

Investment markets and key developments Global shares were mixed over the last week with US and Japanese shares up, but European and Chinese shares down as investors digested the strong... Read more continue reading
24 Jul 2023

CommSec State of the States: July 2023

From

Overall results How are Australia’s states and territories performing? Each quarter CommSec attempts to find out which state or territory is Australia’s economic leader. Now in its 14th year, the... Read more continue reading
24 Jul 2023

RBA July meeting minutes: ‘optionality’ is the theme – upcoming labour force data is important but June quarter CPI is critical

From

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes from the 4 July meeting contained similar themes to those that characterised Governor Lowe’s speech last week. The minutes seek to give the... Read more continue reading
20 Jul 2023

Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on – where are they now?

From

Key points Shares are at risk of a short term pull back and volatility will likely remain high on central bank and recession risks. However, we remain reasonably upbeat on... Read more continue reading
19 Jul 2023

Weekly economic and market update – week ending 14 July, 2023

From

Investment markets and key developments Global share markets rebounded strongly over the last week as US inflation fell sharply adding to expectations that the Fed and other central banks are... Read more continue reading
17 Jul 2023

US CPI: Brandywine Global optimistic on inflation

From

On June 12,  the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the latest Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June. The CPI rose 3% in June from a... Read more continue reading
15 Jul 2023