Ongoing US-Iran tension could boost energy stocks despite lacklustre global outlook

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Financial markets’ quick recovery following US-Iran tensions may be short lived and punish investor returns, though a renewal of tensions could increase the appeal of energy stocks. Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist Seema Shah said: “While geopolitics are difficult to predict at the best of times and both sides have reason to avoid further turmoil, […]

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No positives in going negative for central bankers, says Principal Global Investors

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President Trump has been pushing the Federal Reserve (Fed) to consider cutting policy rates below zero in an effort to stimulate growth and weaken the dollar, however his stance hasn’t gained support amongst other central banks or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). According to Principal Global Investment Strategist, Seema Shah, the rapid spread of negative yielding […]

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Headlines still worried, momentum a little better

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Principal Global Investors has released its Economic Insights for the month of September. Writing in the note to investors, Chief Global Economist, Dr Bob Baur, said that the world economic slowdown refuses to fade, however, economic momentum feels better. The tug-of-war “For some months, the world economy has seemed at a crossroads. With industrial activity stagnating, confidence downcast, […]

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Is this the momentous reversal?

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“Suddenly, there appears to be a glimmer of light. Expectations for a rebound in growth, nurtured by thawing U.S./China trade relations, better Brexit news, and global monetary easing have all boosted risk appetite. Global sovereign bonds have sold off sharply, with U.S. Treasury yields up some 30 basis points in one week.” Writing in a […]

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Is recession already baked in?

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After major indices on US stock markets hit all-time highs in July, the plunge in bond yields is bringing increasingly agitated warnings about worsening growth and recession. Writing in a blog, Principal Global Investors Chief Global Economist, Dr Bob Baur said, “this agonising may simply mean that we are in the worst of the slowdown. […]

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Good financial returns may be hard to find

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“Intensified trade tensions and disappointment with interest rate cuts by the Fed could provoke a relapse in equity markets.” That’s the view of Principal Global Investors Chief Global Economist, Dr Bob Baur. Writing in his July monthly economic notes, Dr Baur argued that even if world growth picks up as expected, good financial returns might […]

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Is the end in sight for the world slowdown?

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Interest rates: near a low in long-bond yields  “The eight-month plunge in 10-year U.S. treasury bond yields is likely over. Yields will slowly work higher into year-end. At some point, rising interest rates will become a problem for stock and credit markets, likely late next year or in 2021.  “For 35 years, yields on 10-year U.S. […]

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Short and Sharp: Everything is not okay

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Another tweet, another big market move. Last Friday, as many investors were making their peace with reallocations towards expensive safe havens, defensives, and higher quality assets, President Trump turned things on their head again by tweeting that he had decided to suspend tariffs on Mexico (announced a mere week earlier). Risk assets promptly rallied, but […]

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Strategic hire bolsters Principal’s Australian presence

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Principal Global Investors has announced the appointment of Warwick Boys to the role of Director of Institutional Sales for Australia. Based in Sydney, Mr Boys will report to Helen de Mestre, Managing Director and Country Head for Principal Global Investors (Australia) Limited, and will work alongside Michael Gaffney, who has been Principal’s Director of Institutional Sales […]

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US chasing Australia on economic expansion, says Principal

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Principal’s Chief Global Economist, Dr Bob Baur, looks at how global markets fared in March. World economic outlook: green shoots “Stock markets plunged in December as evidence began to accumulate that a recession might be around the corner. Growth in China slowed significantly throughout 2018 and the fourth quarter rebounds in Europe and Japan were […]

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