Rising global bond yields: The test for risk assets

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Global bond markets have sold off sharply in recent weeks, pushing long-end yields to multi-decade highs across major markets. U.S. 30-year yields hit their highest level since 2007, 30-year JGBs

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June CPI data shows trade impacts materialising

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The June CPI report came in as expected, bringing the annual headline increase to 2.7%, a tick-up from last month’s 2.4% reading. Meanwhile, core inflation rose 2.9%, softer-than-expected for the

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The end of the 90 day US tariff reprieve is over for now

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The U.S. administration has decided to delay its self-imposed deadline for implementing reciprocal tariffs until August 1. Reciprocal tariffs, originally announced on April 2, also known as “Liberation Day,” saw

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Iran conflict sparks geopolitical shockwave as markets brace for impact

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Thirteen days ago, Israel launched a major military campaign targeting Iranian nuclear facilities, air defence, surface-to-surface missile sites, and senior military and scientific personnel. Over the weekend, the conflict escalated

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Mid-year Perspectives 2025: Cutting through the noise

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After one of the most volatile stretches in recent memory, the middle of 2025 offers an important moment to pause and take stock. Over the past few months, forecasts have

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Market impacts of the 90-day tariff reprieve

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President Trump announced a 90-day reprieve on reciprocal tariffs, reducing them to 10% across all countries except for China, on which the U.S. raised reciprocal tariffs even further, from 104%

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The opening salvo in Trump trade war two 

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Markets were recently rattled by three executive orders announcing tariff increases on Mexico, Canada, and China, marking an opening salvo of President Donald Trump’s trade war. With Europe likely next

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The Fed is signalling that it really wants to cut rates

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To no-one’s surprise, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) chose to keep the benchmark policy rate at 5.25% – 5.50% yesterday. More significantly, the latest dot plot revealed the committee

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Markets see the ECB peak

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Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) raised its three key policy rates for the tenth consecutive time, opting again to raise rates by 25 basis points (bps). The interest

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A short and shallow recession

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The global economic landscape faces challenges heading into the second half of 2023. With Europe weakening, China disappointing, and the U.S. approaching recession, markets are becoming more volatile, and seizing

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