Quay’s strong performance sees rating upgrade

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The Quay Global Real Estate Fund has been upgraded to a recommended rating from Zenith Investment Partners, recognising the fund’s recent strong performance and business growth. The Quay Global Real Estate Fund, which was launched in 2014, is the flagship fund of Quay Global Investors, founded by portfolio managers Justin Blaess and Chris Bedingfield as […]

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CPD: Where profits come from, and the vulnerabilities in Australian corporate earnings

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Key points Equity investors rejoiced in June as the Fed signaled it may cut interest rates – but interest rates do not drive long run equity performance. Profits do. While the Fed gets a lot of credit for the US bull equity run, the reality is that market performance has been supported by a near […]

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CPD: Modern Monetary Theory, and why you’re about to hear a lot more about it

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If you’re paying attention to US politics, you may be aware of an emerging new[i] economic theory supported by many US Democrats, including Congress ‘freshman’ Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. This economic framework is generally known as Modern Monetary Theory, or MMT. There have been a number of ‘hot takes’ from economists and journalists on the topic over […]

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CPD: The great unwind of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, and whether it actually matters

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Gyrations in equity markets over the past three months have been significant. After a -4.2% decline in December and -11% fall for the final quarter of 2018, global equities have recovered strongly, up 9.5% so far this year. Much of this volatility can be attributed to geopolitical concerns and trade, but focus on the Federal […]

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Interest rates may be set to fall: Quay Global Investors

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Contrary to the general consensus outlook, interest rates are probably set to fall as Australia’s household debt reaches an all-time high, according to principal and portfolio manager of Quay Global Investors, Chris Bedingfield. “As Australian household debt relative to income has steadily increased, there is now meaningful downside risk to the economy as the housing […]

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CPD: Retail and residential population growth – the impact of demographics on real estate

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Demographics really matter! The study of populations, how and where people move, is integral to real estate. Very little can stop the effect of demographics on the economy – it is the slow-moving beast that influences demand and thus resource allocation. At Quay, we keep a close eye on demographic changes across the world to […]

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The only way is up: high inflation a positive for listed real estate

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If inflation starts to rise around the world, as is currently predicted, it will be an overwhelmingly positive outcome for long-term real estate investors, according to a recent paper by global listed real estate investor Quay Global Investors, “Going up: what high inflation means for listed real estate”. “A common reaction to higher bond yields […]

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Going up – what high inflation means for listed real estate

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Markets were roiled in February as investors worried that higher wages will lead to accelerating inflation. Bond yields acted accordingly. So, if higher inflation was to return, how would real estate perform? New year, same news? The beginning of the calendar year brings with it the usual commentary: ‘interest rates will normalise’ and ‘the bond […]

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Australia, the lucky country (or is it?)

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Has Australia dodged another recession bullet? Since 2012, one of Australia’s biggest economic threats has been the collapse in mining investment. It was the associated capex boom pre- and post-GFC that sustained Australia’s economic performance. But as projects came to an end in 2012, there was an expected drag on that performance. Enter the Reserve […]

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Why (sustained) low interest rates are not always good for real estate

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Bricks and mortar are not bonds… Whenever pundits predict medium term increases in official cash rates, there is the inevitable ‘get out of bond proxies’ hype. Empirical evidence does not support the idea that real estate underperforms during rate increases, and in this paper we are taking a more theoretical approach to the discussion (albeit […]

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