Artificial intelligence, geopolitics and inflation to dominate the investment landscape for 2026

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Global markets will face a challenging year ahead with turbulence and uncertainty from some key areas dominating the investing landscape. Artificial intelligence, geopolitics and inflation will continue to influence market

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RBA: it’s all about inflation…and the news ain’t looking great

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I’ve had a hard time convincing myself that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will raise the policy rate when it meets on February 10th. Markets appeared to share that

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Ongoing tensions in the US, RBA decision and Bank of England meeting

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Structural versus macro: flying (a little bit) blind The US government shutdown has made for a paucity of data with which to analyse how the US economy is evolving. That

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The central bank circus: high wire acts?

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There seems to be ongoing indications of “last mile” complications in getting inflation back to target in a number of “Anglo” economies. At the same time, labour markets are showing

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Whither 60/40? What comes next?

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The 60/40 portfolio isn’t dead, but is it evolving, and will look different in the future according to GSFM investment strategist Stephen Miller.  He says it is time to consider

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The Fed: certain uncertainty

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As expected, The Federal Reserve’s FOMC lowered the policy rate by 25bps to a target range of 4-4¼ per cent. The decision clearly reflected greater emphasis on the labour market

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The Fed: laboured

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Clearly a notable feature of recent US economic data has been the revelation that the US labour market is not only softening but hasn’t been in as good a health

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Fed: probably a September cut but…does it matter?

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Inflation good enough and labour market softening but ‘stagflation-lite’ environment still a key risk. The US July consumer price index (CPI) report points to ongoing “stickiness” in inflation but absent

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The Fed: not yet maybe later…

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As had been almost universally expected, the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) overnight announced that it had kept the policy rate unchanged in the 4.25-4.5 per cent range.

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Greens shoots for global equity markets despite Trump 2.0 and a slowing US economy

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Trump 2.0 remains the focal point as markets head into the second half of 2025. There is greater clarity around the implication of the US administration’s policies on markets, and

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