Australian GDP and the RBA: the February door is ajar

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In some sense the September quarter national accounts don’t reveal much that wasn’t already known. Private demand is weak, but apparent supply constraints (exemplified by ongoing languishing productivity) are a

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Any US tariff increases won’t delay RBA easing

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Trump, tariffs and the RBA There has been some commentary that a Trump 2.0 could delay any RBA easing because of its potential inflationary impact. I struggle with the notion

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The US election, the US budget deficit, inflation, bond yields, the USD, the Fed, equities, gold and crypto – so much to think about!

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Beware the knee-jerk?? Bond yields have spiked higher on the prospect of a Trump victory in the US Presidential election and the US dollar (USD) has surged. Despite higher bond

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Bank of Canada presses the accelerator on rate reductions… “to stick the landing”

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In a move that markets had certainly contemplated, the Bank of Canada cut its policy rate by 50 basis points (bps) overnight to take the policy rate to 3.75 per

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RBNZ presses the accelerator on rate reductions

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In a widely anticipated move the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps) to 4.75

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The Fed: curbing market enthusiasm…for now

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It doesn’t seem that long ago that markets were sifting through the entrails of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) last policy decision and subsequent press conference from Fed Chair Powell. That

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RBA: keep calm and carry on

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As expected, the RBA kept the policy rate unchanged at 4.35 per cent when it met earlier in the week. Furthermore, despite a plethora of disingenuous political commentary around monetary

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August labour force won’t move the dial for the RBA

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RBA Governor Michele Bullock cast a hawkish hue over the most recent RBA Board decision to leave the policy rate unchanged at 4.35 per cent at its August meeting. In

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It takes an unlikely Melbourne Cup Day trifecta to see a RBA policy rate reduction

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Wednesday’s monthly consumer price index (CPI) indicator report added little to the market’s available information set in terms of their expectation regarding the next (almost certainly downward) adjustment in the

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US CPI and Fed easing: You can almost touch it

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Last night’s US July consumer price index report makes a policy rate cut at the US Federal Reserve’s (the Fed’s) September 17-18 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting a virtual

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