Australian CPI: RBA to hike in May and June

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The March quarter consumer price index (CPI) presents the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Board with a clear and present challenge when it meets next Tuesday. To recap, the six-month

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A round-the-world wrap up on rising rates and inflation

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RBNZ raises the policy rate for the fourth time this cycle by 50 bps to 1.50 per cent. Bank of Canada also hikes 50 bps  Proving itself one again as

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RBA: Run out of “patience”?

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The RBA Governor’s Statement on Tuesday appeared to indicate that the RBA Board has learnt from the difficulties facing the Fed and ECB.  “Patience” is no longer prudent. Both the

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Weekly wrap from Stephen Miller: Inflation

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German CPI inflation highest since unification Provisional March CPI inflation figures for Germany highlight the challenges facing the European Central Bank (ECB) ahead of the broader Euro area CPI release

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New aggressive stance from the Fed and implications of today’s labour force data release

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Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) increases the policy rate by 25bps – Fed ‘dot plot’ now better aligned with aggressive market expectations. Quantitative tightening (QT) to be announced at a

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Russia/Ukraine, Fed Chair Powell to “proceed carefully”

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Clearly Russia/Ukraine tensions remain an intense focus for both central bankers and markets.  Markets have had to contend with wild swings in investor sentiment between euphoria (witness the turnaround in

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RBA March board meeting: Nothing to see here

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The RBA meets tomorrow with no real prospect of any policy change. Recent communication suggests that the RBA would be ‘patient’ in withdrawing any policy stimulus. If anything, recent wage

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WPI gives the RBA some breathing space

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The December quarter wage price index (WPI) was pretty much on Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and market expectations, with the private sector WPI coming in at 0.7 per cent

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Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes suggest communication back on a more even keel – waiting for wages data but is the wait too long?

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Improved clarity of RBA communications After a period toward the latter part of 2021 when the RBA communication process seemed to descend into the realm of the confusing, the RBA

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GSFM on RBA meeting: A little better communication but little action guaranteed

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In the wake of the release of the December quarter CPI, it was clear that the RBA had ‘a lot of wood to chop’. Despite growing evidence to the contrary,

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