Wage Price Index and RBA minutes and UK CPI suggests no relief for the Bank of England

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Wage Price Index and RBA minutes: hard to see a September or October hike…but come November? Last week I noted that the release of the July NAB Monthly Business Survey

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US July CPI enough for an indefinite abeyance and the Fair Work Commission pokes the inflation bear

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US July CPI: enough for an indefinite abeyance but a policy rate “plateau” not a “peak” The July consumer price index (CPI) report reaffirms the message from the previous two

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The RBA “skip” could yet be a prelude to a mortgage debtor “trip” and the US Fitch debt downgrade

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The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to “skip” a policy rate increase at Tuesday’s meeting was certainly defensible. The June quarter consumer price index (CPI) suggested that inflation as

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RBA July meeting minutes: ‘optionality’ is the theme – upcoming labour force data is important but June quarter CPI is critical

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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes from the 4 July meeting contained similar themes to those that characterised Governor Lowe’s speech last week. The minutes seek to give the

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US CPI not enough for a July “pause” and what to look out for from the RBA

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US CPI: (maybe?) not enough for a July “pause” but it will be “one and done” The June consumer price index (CPI) report indicates that inflation has meaningfully turned and

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Fed Chair Powell maintains the “pause not a peak” mantra and the RBA’s decision to increase the policy rate was “finely balanced”

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In his semi-annual report to Congress Federal Reserve Chair Powell reiterated the main themes from his press conference last week following the Federal Reserve’s decision to “pause” the policy rate

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A Fed “pause but not a “peak”? Median “dot plot” sees policy rate at 5.6 per cent by end-2023, dropping to 4.6 per cent by end-2024 

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At its meeting concluding overnight, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) opted to “pause” in hiking the policy rate hike. However, the Fed indicated that more

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RBNZ breaks on through to the other side: A template for others?

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In something of a surprise move the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) increased the policy rate by “only” 25 basis points (bp) to 5.5 per cent. Moreover, the RBNZ

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Wage price index growth portends ongoing inflation challenges and US debt ceiling disputes

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Yesterday’s April Labour Force Report was on the surface a little softer than anticipated but is not sufficient to move the dial for the RBA from a setting of “inflation

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US CPI: some slivers of good news but no change in “higher for longer” mantra from the Fed

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Wednesday night’s April US consumer price index (CPI) report does contain some slivers of good news, particularly with regard to reduced price pressure in the services sector. However, the overarching

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