Insight Multi-Asset Weekly Update – all eyes on the Federal Reserve meeting Wednesday with a cut widely expected

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Market and economic review A positive week for risk assets, with US corporate earnings being well received by the market Global equities ended last week in positive territory on the back of positive share price reaction to Q2 2019 US corporate earnings mixed with disappointing global growth data. Government bonds moves were relatively muted: 10-year […]

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Weekly market update – week ending 26 July, 2019

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Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets rose over the last week helped along by positive news on trade, a deal to resolve the US debt ceiling and reasonable US earnings. While Australian shares slipped on Friday, they rose through the week helped by the positive global lead with the All […]

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CommSec Research: State of the States July 2019

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Overall Results How are Australia’s states and territories performing? Each quarter CommSec attempts to find out by analysing eight key indicators: economic growth; retail spending; equipment investment; unemployment; construction work done; population growth; housing finance and dwelling commencements. Just as the Reserve Bank uses long-term averages to determine the level of ‘normal’ interest rates; we […]

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Reserve Bank defends inflation target

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Reserve Bank Governor speech Reserve Bank Governor speech: Governor Lowe delivered a speech titled “Inflation targeting and Economic Welfare.” Speeches from the Reserve Bank Governor can provide guidance on interest rate settings. What did he say and what does it all mean? Ahead of the speech, there was much conjecture on whether the Reserve Bank […]

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The longest US economic expansion ever – does this mean recession is around the corner?

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Key points Where the US economy goes is critical to the outlook for shares, including for the Australian share market. While the yield curve is flashing warning signs and issues around trade and Iran could cause short-term volatility, the excesses that normally precede US recessions – a spending boom, surging private debt and/or rising inflation/tight […]

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Insight Multi-Asset weekly update: European Central Bank meeting on Thursday likely to be the biggest market focus

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Market and economic review Risk assets trade sideways on busy week for growth data and US earnings Global equities ended last week broadly flat despite a busy period for global growth data and 20% of S&P 500 Index market cap reporting Q2 earnings. Earnings growth thus far has been slightly ahead of expectations, but in […]

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Rising petrol prices lift June quarter inflation

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Weekly petrol prices Petrol: According to the Australian Institute of Petroleum, the national average price of unleaded petrol rose by 1.8 cents in the past week to 142.8 cents a litre. Prices have lifted for three successive weeks. Fuel inflation: Auto fuel, including petrol and diesel, is expected to be amongst the largest contributors to […]

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Weekly market update – week ending 19 July, 2019

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Investment markets and key developments over the past week US, European and Japanese shares slipped over the last week as trade war uncertainty continued to weigh amidst some mixed US earnings reports. Global trade war uncertainties also weighed on the Australian share market with a sharp fall in oil prices particularly hitting energy stocks, but […]

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Unemployment: The young and the restless

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Labour force Employment rose for the 11th straight month, up by just 500 jobs in June after a revised 45,300 increase in jobs in May (previously reported as a 42,300 increase in jobs). Full-time jobs rose by 21,100, but part-time jobs fell by 20,600. Economists had tipped an increase in total jobs of around 9,000. […]

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Melbourne-Sydney passenger growth hits 6½-year low; Reserve Bank ready to act “if needed”

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Domestic air travel; Weekly consumer sentiment; Reserve Bank Board minutes People flying: There were 5.12 million passengers carried on Australian domestic commercial aviation (including charter operations) in May 2019, an increase of 0.7 per cent on May 2018. Rolling annual passenger growth on the Sydney-Melbourne route is at 6½-year lows. Consumer confidence: The weekly ANZ-Roy […]

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